Match Info

NMHL

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Samara		Tambov

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.3	3.24
	1.8	4.25	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 (1.8)	4.28 ↑ (4.28)	3.15 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samara
50.2%

Draw
21.1%

Tambov
28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

23.1%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Samara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tambov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Samara - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
02:25, 0 - 1, Pechenin S. (G), Moshinsky T. (A),
17:56, 0 - 2, Nikiforov D. (G), Grushin Y. (A), Moshinsky T. (A2)
19:27, 0 - 3, Bizhanov T. (G), Boryasov S. (A), Kravtsov I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
05:58, 0 - 4, Boryasov S. (G), Salikov D. (A),
06:30, 1 - 4, Fokeichev G. (G), Krugomov A. (A), Timofei N. (A2)
19:51, 1 - 5, Bizhanov T. (G), Kravtsov I. (A), Salikov D. (A2)

Preview

Samara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tambov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Samara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Samara has had a series of away games.

Samara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Samara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 2.3:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Samara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Last Results with these Odds

Tambov - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 28.71%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Samara
RHL
17.02.26	Samara - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:1 ✺
10.02.26	Progress Glazov - Samara	4:2 ✺
08.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Samara	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- MHC Tambov
RHL
17.02.26	Samara - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Tambov - MHK Ryazan	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	Tambov - MHK Ryazan	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
17.02.26	Samara - Tambov	3:4 penalties
07.11.25	Tambov - Samara	1:4
06.11.25	Tambov - Samara	5:0

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