Match Info

NMHL

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday


	Kristall Saratov		Progress Glazov

	1	X	2
	1.69	4.6	3.46
	1.72	4.6	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	4.6 ↑ (4.55)	3.44 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristall Saratov
53.6%

Draw
19.9%

Progress Glazov
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

20%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

19%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristall Saratov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Progress Glazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progress Glazov than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Kristall Saratov - Progress Glazov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
02:32, 0 - 1, Aristov L. (G), Kovyrzin A. (A), Afanasyev D. (A2)
09:40, 1 - 1, Konnov S. (G), Ermolovich D. (A), Shushpannikov M. (A2)
14:22, 2 - 1, Bakhteyev A. (G), Osadchy V. (A),
15:30, 2 - 2, Marchinskiy M. (G), Borodinov I. (A), Afanasyev D. (A2)
19:59, 3 - 2, Ilyin V. (G), Chekanov L. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:17, 4 - 2, Ermolovich D. (G), Skrynchenko A. (A), Shushpannikov M. (A2)
06:55, 5 - 2, Bakhteyev A. (G), Shushpannikov M. (A), Vlasov V. (A2)
11:19, 5 - 3, Fedorov M. (G), Savin V. (A), Otinov Y. (A2)
15:59, 5 - 4, Vozisov D. (G), Savin V. (A), Fedorov M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 3)
04:31, 5 - 5, Matveyev D. (G), Savin V. (A), Kudrin I. (A2)
06:08, 6 - 5, Shafeyev D. (G), Ilyin I. (A), Shitov A. (A2)
08:30, 6 - 6, Savin V. (G), Fyodorov M. (A),
12:02, 6 - 7, Otinov Y. (G), Savin V. (A), Kudrin I. (A2)
18:14, 7 - 7, Shushpannikov M. (G), Ermolovich D. (A), Skrynchenko A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01', 7 - 8, (G),

Preview

Kristall is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Progress Glazov has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kristall may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Kristall might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kristall won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 4.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Kristall won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Kristall Saratov
RHL
16.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Progress Glazov	4:3 ✺
11.11.25	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	0:3 ✺
10.11.25	Tambov - Kristall Saratov	2:3 OT ✺
08.11.25	Lipetsk - Kristall Saratov	2:3 ✺
07.11.25	Lipetsk - Kristall Saratov	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWW
- HC Progress Glazov
RHL
16.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Progress Glazov	4:3 ✺
14.11.25	Dizelist Penza - Progress Glazov	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	Dizelist Penza - Progress Glazov	1:4 ✺
01.11.25	Belgorod - Progress Glazov	2:3 ✺
31.10.25	Belgorod - Progress Glazov	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
16.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Progress Glazov	4:3
23.02.25	Progress Glazov - Kristall Saratov	2:5
22.02.25	Progress Glazov - Kristall Saratov	3:4

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