The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Krylya Sovetov 19.8%
Draw 20.4%
MHC Spartak 59.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.3%
22.1%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.3%
24%
49.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
MHC Spartak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting MHC Spartak's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krylya Sovetov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHC Spartak than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MHC Spartak, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
07:09, 0 - 2, Ilyin A. (G), Belugin I. (A), Plesovskikh A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Krylya Sovetov (last 5 matches: 1 win).
MHC Spartak is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Krylya Sovetov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Krylya Sovetov has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this matchup, MHC Spartak is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for MHC Spartak in today's match, at odds of 1.56.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Krylya Sovetov has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:78 (averaging 2.4:3.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Krylya Sovetov against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 29:39 goals (averaging 3.2:4.3 per game).