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Current Win Probability
Dinamo St. Petersburg 58.5%
Draw 21%
Krylya Sovetov 20.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
63.8%
18.9%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.3%
18.7%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dinamo St. Petersburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo St. Petersburg's form might have worsened.
Krylya Sovetov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Dinamo St. Petersburg - Krylya Sovetov Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Dinamo SP (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo SP (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
37. Polukeyev L. (G)
74. Stepin N. (G)
91. Dolgopolov I. (A)
27. Tereshchenko N. (C)
23. Khvostov Z.
49. Levchuk A.
13. Pastukhov E.
95. Morozov N. (A)
74. Starshinov N. (C)
15. Shamolin M. (A)
98. Gromakov N.
71. Lukhanin S.
Line 2
78. Gimbatov S.
61. Buranov I.
24. Bausov R.
2. Gomtsyan F.
8. Khristoforov K.
25. Gusarov T.
73. Groshev K.
47. Fysyna R.
17. Marininov Y.
17. Sklyarenko A.
Line 3
64. Boronin B.
10. Bakuradze G.
42. Komarov S.
19. Ilyushin D.
27. Bakhtov V.
88. Mikhlin D.
9. Ryzhenko K.
16. Alisov M.
11. Medunitsin A.
11. Skuratov A.
Line 4
19. Fyodor P.
98. Krasilnikov Y.
94. Miftakhov D.
91. Agapov R.
21. Miftakhov N.
67. Darusin Y.
71. Chipsanov O. (A)
97. Kuzin A.
Substitutes
75. Lobus D.
80. Khodin Y. (G)
43. Molchanov K. (G)
37. Platonov Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
00:18, 0 - 1, Morozov N. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:17, 1 - 1, Medunitsin A. (G), Bakhtov V. (A),
16:39, 2 - 1, Khristoforov K. (G), Groshev K. (A),
19:59, 3 - 1, Starshinov N. (G), Pastukhov E. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dinamo SP won 5.
Dinamo SP is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Krylya Sovetov has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Krylya Sovetov could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Dinamo SP has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Krylya Sovetov has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Dinamo SP for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dinamo SP has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:40 (averaging 2.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dinamo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 33:19 goals (averaging 3:1.7 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Dinamo St. Petersburg - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 63.75%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.