Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday

Location: Alexander Vinokourov Sports Palace (Petropavl)


	Kulager Petropavlovsk		Nomad

	1	X	2
	3.55	4.2	1.71
	3.6	5	1.62
	3.62	5.13	1.62	Watch
	3.6	4.4	1.6
	3.87	4.35	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)	4.62 ↓ (4.96)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kulager Petropavlovsk
24.9%

Draw
19.7%

Nomad
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

18.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

19.4%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kulager Petropavlovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for Nomad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kulager Petropavlovsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Kulager Petropavlovsk - Nomad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Giganov B. (G)	20. Dubinskas Y. (G)
97. Bazanov M.	57. Beisembayev A.
11. Burdelyov A.	5. Boiko O.
89. Burlaka Y.	7. Britikov D.
78. Dvurechensky K.	8. Butenko D.
28. Gatin A.	77. Daniyar Say. (C)
53. Goncharov A.	91. Dikhanbek M. (A)
24. Ismagilov D. (A)	58. Gaitamirov T.
32. Khomenko Y.	15. Gatiyatov A.
8. Komarov V.	9. Guseinov D.
21. Kovalenko R.	89. Kenesbay K.
91. Markabayev B.	34. Kolesnikov V.
19. Martynov S.	31. Korolyov A.
74. Mukanov A.	17. Makeyev D.
13. Popitich Y.	68. Mangisbayev A.
14. Shtefan S.	84. Migunov A.
92. Soshnikov A.	87. Nikitin K.
16. Stulov D.	66. Shulga N.
27. Svoyevolin A.	48. Starchenko R. (A)
44. Tunhuzin S. (C)	71. Tsybin D.
17. Vorobyov A. (A)	47. Tusupbekov R.
Substitutes
90. Karatayev D. (G)	30. Kalmykov R. (G)
33. Osokin A. (G)	35. Shestakov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:49, 1 - 0, Popitich Y. (G), Stulov D. (A), Ismagilov D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:26, 1 - 1, Daniyar Say. (G), Butenko D. (A), Guseinov D. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
14', 2 - 1, (G),

Preview

Nomad Astana leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kulager won 0.

In recent matches, Kulager has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nomad is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nomad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nomad is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kulager won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 43:70. (average 2.2:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kulager won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:32. (average 2.3:4).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Nomad Astana: 26.19% Kulager: 3.93%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Nomad Astana	16	12	3	1	0	77:31	31
6	Kulager	16	5	3	4	4	61:48	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kulager Petropavlovsk
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
21.03.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Nomad	2:5 ✺
18.03.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	5:3 ✺
05.03.26	Arlan Kokshetau - Kulager Petropavlovsk	2:3 OT ✺
02.03.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Arlan Kokshetau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW
- Nomad Astana
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
21.03.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Nomad	2:5 ✺
18.03.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	2:1 ✺
16.03.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	5:3 ✺
11.03.26	Nomad - Almaty	9:2 ✺
08.03.26	Almaty - Nomad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
21.03.26	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Nomad	2:5
18.03.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	2:1
16.03.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	5:3
18.01.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	5:4 OT
17.01.26	Nomad - Kulager Petropavlovsk	3:1
11.12.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Nomad	2:5
10.12.25	Kulager Petropavlovsk - Nomad	2:3

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