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Current Win Probability
Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk 47.4%
Draw 20.5%
Nomad 32.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
21.7%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.9%
23.9%
32.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
Nomad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nomad than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Torpedo Ust Kamenogorsk - Nomad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Kudryavtsev S. (G)
72. Lytkin D. (G)
67. Aldabergenov E.
10. Alibek A.
11. Alexandrov S.
57. Beisembayev A.
8. Borovikov S. (A)
5. Boiko O. (C)
88. Butenko D.
78. Dvurechensky K.
85. Bykov D.
15. Gross A.
77. Daniyar Say. (C)
89. Kenesbay K.
17. Gatiyatov A.
31. Korolyov A. (A)
3. Gavrilenko I.
85. Makarov A.
71. Glukhikh A.
68. Mangisbayev A.
92. Grents D.
69. Merzlikin N.
9. Guseinov D.
84. Migunov A.
55. Khoroshev F. (A)
81. Muratov B.
16. Kolobov N.
87. Nikitin K. (A)
10. Mukhametov M.
77. Ruslanuly A.
73. Prokhorov A.
28. Sarkenov A.
19. Rakhmanov M.
96. Shakshakbaev D.
7. Rifel S.
66. Shulga N.
25. Sagymbayev M.
74. Suleimenov A.
95. Zhirnov P.
17. Tsybin D.
9. Tusupbekov R.
Substitutes
33. Osokin A. (G)
71. Nurek V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
04:57, 1 - 0, Guseinov D. (G), Gatiyatov A. (A), Butenko D. (A2)
06:16, 1 - 1, Boiko O. (G), Muratov B. (A),
11:16, 1 - 2, Alibek A. (G), Shulga N. (A), Nikitin K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:34, 2 - 2, Mukhametov M. (G), Zhirnov P. (A), Prokhorov A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Sarkenov A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Grents D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Muratov B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Mukhametov M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Alibek A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 3.
Torpedo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Nomad is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Recently, Torpedo has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Nomad has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:58 (averaging 3.1:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Torpedo against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:29 goals (averaging 2.9:3.2 per game).
Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now