Match Info

MHL

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Kuznetskie Medvedi		Irbis Kazan

	1	X	2
	5.2	4.95	1.44	Watch
	5.25	5	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.3)	4.98 ↓ (5.5)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuznetskie Medvedi
17.4%

Draw
18.2%

Irbis Kazan
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

17%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

17%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuznetskie Medvedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Irbis Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuznetskie Medvedi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (+1%)

Kuznetskie Medvedi - Irbis Kazan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
25. Chapayev V. (G)	1. Grigoryev G. (G)
26. Tkach S.	16. Istomin D.
16. Nosov I.	64. Nikitin K.
48. Shamov I. (C)	10. Gayev V. (A)
92. Voronin D. (A)	37. Kolomytsev I.
71. Grzheletsky M.	11. Gimayev S.
Line 2
74. Petrov V. (A)	57. Aibatov D.
12. Kryukov T.	91. Dulnev A. (A)
98. Gubin M.	47. Kutuzov K.
66. Naumov T.	19. Onishko N.
78. Shchipanov A.	94. Sakhapov T. (C)
Line 3
3. Logvin Y.	87. Vaziev K.
11. Izmailov N.	81. Fazlov M.
91. Bogdanov K.	93. Khusayenov R.
96. Nokhrin S.	21. Tsaregorodtsev S.
85. Gavrilko P.	15. Kamalov A.
Line 4
19. Galochkin S.	77. Gainullin I.
93. Buduev R.	44. Antonov Y.
83. Shevel A.	92. Bokarev I.
55. Popov Y.	18. Potapov Y.
68. Tungusov V.
Substitutes
60. Vyatkin R. (G)	75. Klimov D.
	72. Konovalov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:44, 1 - 0, Naumov T. (G), Gubin M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:02, 1 - 1, Kutuzov K. (G), Onishko N. (A), Tsaregorodtsev S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
18:19, 1 - 2, Kamalov A. (G),
19:18, 1 - 3, Gayev V. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Irbis is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 42:55. (average 2.1:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kuznetskie Medvedi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 2.6:3.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Kuznetskie Medvedi - the odds 5.3 are the expected chance of winning is 17.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Irbis Kazan - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 65.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kuznetskie Medvedi
MHL
25.12.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Irbis Kazan	2:3 ✺
22.12.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Chaika	4:6 ✺
21.12.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Chaika	1:2 OT ✺
17.12.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Kuznetskie Medvedi	1:3 ✺
15.12.25	Loko-76 - Kuznetskie Medvedi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWW
- Irbis Kazan
MHL
25.12.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Irbis Kazan	2:3 ✺
22.12.25	Omskye Yastreby - Irbis Kazan	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Omskye Yastreby - Irbis Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
13.12.25	Irbis Kazan - Mamonty Yugry	3:1 ✺
12.12.25	Irbis Kazan - Mamonty Yugry	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
25.12.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Irbis Kazan	2:3
25.11.25	Irbis Kazan - Kuznetskie Medvedi	0:1
24.11.25	Irbis Kazan - Kuznetskie Medvedi	2:1
09.04.25	Irbis Kazan - Kuznetskie Medvedi	0:2
07.04.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Irbis Kazan	2:5
06.04.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Irbis Kazan	5:4
03.04.25	Irbis Kazan - Kuznetskie Medvedi	5:2

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