Match Info

UKRAINE: Championship - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday


	Kyiv Capitals		Storm Odesa

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.7	2.4
	2.42	3.64	2.48
	2.42	3.73	2.51	Watch
	2.4	4.1	2.4
	2.38	3.7	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.52)	3.77 ↓ (3.88)	2.44 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyiv Capitals
38.2%

Draw
24.3%

Storm Odesa
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

23.8%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

21.8%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyiv Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Storm Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyiv Capitals than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Storm Odesa than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Haas R. (G)	79. Gordyushin N. (G)
77. Berdniks D.	96. Aleksyuk V. (A)
18. Chernenko S.	11. Danylenko N.
12. Hu S.	29. Kobylnyk D.
91. Karpenko S.	10. Kriklya I.
81. Koyda A.	81. Kruglyakov N.
28. Krivonozhkin A.	8. Kutsevich V. (A)
27. Lapko T.	23. Mosiuk D.
9. Lesnikov N.	27. Nikonov V.
15. Luhovyi V.	6. Novikov S.
44. Mazko M.	13. Portnoi A.
19. Melnikov A.	37. Poymanov S.
98. Oleynik N.	26. Ratushnyi Y. (C)
29. Panchenko Y.	12. Sapozhnik D.
97. Plesovskikh D.	22. Sidorenko N.
14. Sekirko Y.	92. Skorokhod D.
24. Shevchenko I.	72. Stetsyura S.
78. Sirchenko V.	19. Stotskiy A.
11. Tishchenko D.	97. Timchenko S.
32. Valkun O.	28. Trushchenko B.
2. Vasilyev M.	7. Varava H.
Substitutes
	40. Sulyutin M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
03:48, 1 - 0, Panchenko Y. (G),
10:45, 2 - 0, Karpenko S. (G),
19:13, 2 - 1, Nikonov V. (G), Ratushnyi Y. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
03:15, 2 - 2, Skorokhod D. (G),
14:02, 2 - 3, Poymanov S. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:58, 3 - 3, Hu S. (G),
07:00, 4 - 3, Panchenko Y. (G), Chernenko S. (A), Hu S. (A2)
14:07, 4 - 4, Nikonov V. (G),
Overtime (1 - 0)
12:54, 5 - 4, Chernenko S. (G),

Preview

2nd leg. Kyiv Capitals leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kyiv Capitals won 3.

Kyiv Capitals in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Storm is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Storm have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Kyiv Capitals to win the game is with odds 2.4.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kyiv Capitals won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:19 (average 3.2:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Kyiv Capitals won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:7 (average 3.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyiv Capitals
Ukrainian UHL
08.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Storm Odesa	4:2 ✺
04.03.25	Storm Odesa - Kyiv Capitals	3:4 ✺
02.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Sokil Kyiv	3:2 ✺
28.02.25	Kyiv Capitals - Sokil Kyiv	6:3 ✺
26.02.25	Dnipro Kherson - Kyiv Capitals	1:12 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWW
- Storm Odesa
Ukrainian UHL
08.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Storm Odesa	4:2 ✺
04.03.25	Storm Odesa - Kyiv Capitals	3:4 ✺
01.03.25	Kremenchuk - Storm Odesa	5:1 ✺
28.02.25	Kremenchuk - Storm Odesa	3:2 ✺
27.02.25	Kryzhynka Kyiv - Storm Odesa	2:11
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian UHL
08.03.25	Kyiv Capitals - Storm Odesa	4:2
04.03.25	Storm Odesa - Kyiv Capitals	3:4
16.02.25	Storm Odesa - Kyiv Capitals	7:2
27.01.25	Kyiv Capitals - Storm Odesa	2:3 penalties
21.12.24	Kyiv Capitals - Storm Odesa	4:2
27.11.24	Storm Odesa - Kyiv Capitals	2:3 penalties

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