Match Info

DEL - Round 46

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lanxess Arena (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Germany	19:30	Magenta Sport


	Kölner Haie		ERC Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.75	3.2	Watch
	2.07	4.15	2.9	Watch
	2.08	4.06	2.91
	2.06	4.23	2.92	Watch
	2	4.2	2.8
	2.05	4.33	2.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.14)	4.29 ↑ (4.11)	2.93 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kölner Haie
46.3%

Draw
21.8%

ERC Ingolstadt
31.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

22.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

24.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kölner Haie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kölner Haie than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kölner Haie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kölner Haie will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kölner Haie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Juvonen J. (G)	36. Brochu B. (G)
7. Kaski O.	4. Ellis M.
57. Austin B.	75. Breton A.
63. Russell P.	17. Girduckis A.
89. MacLeod G.	9. Powell M.
10. Kero T.	11. Agostino K.
Line 2
13. Kemilainen V.	25. Huttl L.
47. Vittasmaki V.	2. Ruopp S.
78. Bokk D.	37. Barber R.
76. Schnarr N.	98. Abbandonato P.
62. Tuomie P.	92. Schmolz D.
Line 3
91. Muller Mor.	95. Preto P.
17. Sennhenn J.	50. Spornberger P.
46. Niedenz K.	83. Kharboutli S.
15. Aubry L.	89. Keating A.
19. Storm F.	91. Sheen R.
Line 4
22. Glotzl M.	16. Krauss J.
5. van Calster R.	86. Pietta D.
77. MacInnis R.	85. Hauf L.
26. Uher D.
Substitutes
90. Bruckmann F. (G)	31. Williams D. (G)
Coaches
. Jalonen K.	. French M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
02:48, 0 - 1, Pietta D. (G), Ruopp S. (A), Agostino K. (A2)
04:07, Ellis M. (2 min),
04:56, 0 - 2, Powell M. (G), Keating A. (A),
15:55, 1 - 2, Aubry L. (G), Niedenz K. (A), Kemilainen V. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
00:19, Kero T. (2 min),
02:45, 2 - 2, Kemilainen V. (G), Kero T. (A), Russell P. (A2)
04:15, 3 - 2, Niedenz K. (G), Aubry L. (A),
05:20, Ruopp S. (2 min),
05:20, Ruopp S. (10 min),
07:33, 3 - 3, Barber R. (G), Sheen R. (A),
09:22, Austin B. (2 min),
17:19, Muller Mor. (2 min),
18:26, 4 - 3, Russell P. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
14:58, Ellis M. (2 min),
15:13, 5 - 3, MacLeod G. (G), Aubry L. (A), Kemilainen V. (A2)
15:28, 6 - 3, MacInnis R. (G), Schnarr N. (A),
16:11, Spornberger P. (2 min),
19:46, Kero T. (5 min),
19:46, Muller Mor. (2 min),
19:46, Schmolz D. (5 min),
19:46, Sheen R. (2 min),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Kölner Haie is Qualified for DEL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kölner Haie won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kölner Haie won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 62:64. (average 3.1:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kölner Haie won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 3:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Kolner	14	6	1	3	4	54:51	23
7	ERC Ingolstadt	13	5	2	1	5	40:43	20

Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now

ERC Ingolstadt: 10.2%

Last Results with these Odds

Kölner Haie - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.66%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kölner Haie
German Ice Hockey League
25.02.26	Kölner Haie - Dresdner Eislöwen	7:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.02.26	Straubing Tigers - Kölner Haie	1:5 ✺
13.02.26	Bern - Kölner Haie	2:1 OT ✺
German Ice Hockey League
27.01.26	Kölner Haie - Frankfurt Lions	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Kölner Haie - Nurnberg Ice Tigers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW
- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
25.02.26	EHC München - ERC Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
27.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Dresdner Eislöwen	4:1 ✺
25.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Schwenninger Wild Wings	4:1 ✺
23.01.26	Eisbären Berlin - ERC Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Frankfurt Lions - ERC Ingolstadt	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
09.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	4:5
31.10.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	10:3
10.10.25	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	4:3
14.04.25	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	3:2 OT
11.04.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	3:0
09.04.25	Kölner Haie - ERC Ingolstadt	2:1
06.04.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	0:2

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