Match Info

DEL - Round 43

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Saturn Arena (Ingolstadt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	ERC Ingolstadt		Schwenninger Wild Wings

	1	X	2
	1.6	5	4.25	Watch
	1.55	4.9	4.65	Watch
	1.6	4.3	4.16
	1.52	5.22	4.62	Watch
	1.5	4.75	4.5
	1.59	4.85	4.34	Watch
	1.55	4.75	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	4.82 ↑ (4.3)	4.34 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ERC Ingolstadt
59.4%

Draw
19.2%

Schwenninger Wild Wings
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

21.7%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ERC Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Schwenninger Wild Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ERC Ingolstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schwenninger Wild Wings than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ERC Ingolstadt - Schwenninger Wild Wings Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Williams D. (G)	60. Eriksson J. (G)
4. Ellis M.	53. Trivellato A.
75. Breton A.	46. Martinsson E.
17. Girduckis A.	94. Hungerecker P.
9. Powell M.	90. Spink Tyl.
91. Sheen R.	96. Spink Tys.
Line 2
25. Huttl L.	7. Bittner D.
2. Ruopp S.	54. Marshall B.
37. Barber R.	9. Feist P.
98. Abbandonato P.	64. Bassen B.
92. Schmolz D.	26. Gettinger T.
Line 3
95. Preto P.	37. Larkin T.
7. Jandric C.	78. Weber W.
16. Krauss J.	14. Szwarz J.
86. Pietta D.	88. Platzer K.
89. Keating A.	47. Karachun A.
Line 4
83. Kharboutli S.	16. Dziambor A.
23. Smallwood J.	19. Hanelt H.
85. Hauf L.	10. Hofflin M.
	13. Scheel F.
Substitutes
36. Brochu B. (G)	1. Bitzer M. (G)
Coaches
. French M.	. Walker S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:55, 1 - 0, Krauss J. (G), Preto P. (A), Keating A. (A2)
17:16, 2 - 0, Schmolz D. (G), Pietta D. (A), Krauss J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:25, Smallwood J. (2 min),
06:43, 2 - 1, Gettinger T. (G), Spink Tyl. (A), Martinsson E. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:51, 3 - 1, Girduckis A. (G), Abbandonato P. (A), Sheen R. (A2)
02:39, 4 - 1, Kharboutli S. (G), Hauf L. (A), Smallwood J. (A2)
05:02, Larkin T. (2 min),
08:49, Scheel F. (2 min),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Schwenninger has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ingolstadt is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 80:53. (average 4:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 4.2:2.2).

Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now

ERC Ingolstadt: 9.52% Schwenninger: 0.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
11	ERC Ingolstadt	7	2	1	0	4	19:25	8
13	Schwenninger	7	1	1	0	5	15:30	5

Last Results with these Odds

ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.87%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
23.01.26	Eisbären Berlin - ERC Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Frankfurt Lions - ERC Ingolstadt	1:2 penalties ✺
16.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Straubing Tigers	5:4 ✺
11.01.26	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	1:4 ✺
09.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL
- Schwenninger Wild Wings
German Ice Hockey League
23.01.26	Schwenninger Wild Wings - Kölner Haie	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Fischtown Pinguins Bremerhaven - Schwenninger Wild Wings	2:5 ✺
15.01.26	Schwenninger Wild Wings - Eisbären Berlin	3:5 ✺
11.01.26	Schwenninger Wild Wings - Straubing Tigers	4:2 ✺
06.01.26	Schwenninger Wild Wings - Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
30.12.25	Schwenninger Wild Wings - ERC Ingolstadt	5:3
07.12.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Schwenninger Wild Wings	5:2
19.10.25	Schwenninger Wild Wings - ERC Ingolstadt	2:4
07.03.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Schwenninger Wild Wings	0:4
20.12.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Schwenninger Wild Wings	5:3
05.12.24	Schwenninger Wild Wings - ERC Ingolstadt	4:5 OT
01.10.24	Schwenninger Wild Wings - ERC Ingolstadt	3:6

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