Match Info

DEL - Round 42

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Uber Arena (Berlin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport


	Eisbären Berlin		ERC Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.25	4.5	2.5	Watch
	2.24	4.25	2.6	Watch
	2.25	3.85	2.6
	2.26	4.18	2.61	Watch
	2.15	4.2	2.6
	2.21	4.3	2.59	Watch
	2.25	4.3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.34)	4.23 ↓ (4.28)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eisbären Berlin
41.6%

Draw
21.9%

ERC Ingolstadt
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

21.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

23.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eisbären Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ERC Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eisbären Berlin than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ERC Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Eisbären Berlin - ERC Ingolstadt Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Stettmer J. (G)	36. Brochu B. (G)
6. Wissmann K.	4. Ellis M.
18. Muller J.	75. Breton A.
9. Ronning T.	17. Girduckis A.
93. Pfoederl L.	9. Powell M.
94. Kirk L.	11. Agostino K.
Line 2
12. Mik E.	25. Huttl L.
40. Geibel K.	2. Ruopp S.
92. Noebels M.	37. Barber R.
17. Dea J.	98. Abbandonato P.
95. Tiffels F.	92. Schmolz D.
Line 3
5. Reinke M.	95. Preto P.
4. Smith A.	50. Spornberger P.
74. Lancaster L.	16. Krauss J.
43. Eder A.	89. Keating A.
10. Bergmann L.	91. Sheen R.
Line 4
	8. Krauss P.
	86. Pietta D.
	85. Hauf L.
Substitutes
30. Hildebrand J. (G)	31. Williams D. (G)
77. Hordler E.
33. Leden M.
Coaches
. Aubin S.	. French M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
11:08, Sheen R. (2 min),
16:20, Smith A. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:53, 1 - 0, Ronning T. (G), Kirk L. (A),
03:37, 1 - 1, Krauss J. (G), Sheen R. (A), Huttl L. (A2)
07:46, Tiffels F. (2 min),
09:14, Ruopp S. (2 min),
16:44, Abbandonato P. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
00:27, Kirk L. (2 min),
12:13, Krauss P. (2 min),
16:22, 2 - 1, Noebels M. (G), Lancaster L. (A), Mik E. (A2)
19:11, Powell M. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ DEL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eisbären Berlin won 1.

Eisbären Berlin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ingolstadt is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ingolstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Eisbären Berlin has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Eisbären Berlin won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:59. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Eisbären Berlin won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 2.8:2.7).

Outrights of German Ice Hockey League for now

Eisbaren Berlin: 26.11% ERC Ingolstadt: 10.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Eisbaren Berlin	7	5	1	0	1	28:12	17
11	ERC Ingolstadt	7	2	1	0	4	19:25	8

Last Results with these Odds

Eisbären Berlin - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.91%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

ERC Ingolstadt - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eisbären Berlin
German Ice Hockey League
18.01.26	Wolfsburg Grizzly Adams - Eisbären Berlin	5:2 ✺
15.01.26	Schwenninger Wild Wings - Eisbären Berlin	3:5 ✺
10.01.26	Dresdner Eislöwen - Eisbären Berlin	2:3 OT ✺
08.01.26	Iserlohn Roosters - Eisbären Berlin	4:3 ✺
06.01.26	EHC München - Eisbären Berlin	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LWWLW
- ERC Ingolstadt
German Ice Hockey League
18.01.26	Frankfurt Lions - ERC Ingolstadt	1:2 penalties ✺
16.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Straubing Tigers	5:4 ✺
11.01.26	Nurnberg Ice Tigers - ERC Ingolstadt	1:4 ✺
09.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Kölner Haie	4:5 ✺
06.01.26	ERC Ingolstadt - Frankfurt Lions	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Ice Hockey League
18.12.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Eisbären Berlin	8:5
26.11.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Eisbären Berlin	5:2
05.10.25	Eisbären Berlin - ERC Ingolstadt	3:0
26.02.25	ERC Ingolstadt - Eisbären Berlin	3:1
22.12.24	Eisbären Berlin - ERC Ingolstadt	1:6
29.11.24	Eisbären Berlin - ERC Ingolstadt	0:4
24.10.24	ERC Ingolstadt - Eisbären Berlin	2:4

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