Match Info

MHL

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday


	Ladya Togliatti		Loko-76

	1	X	2
	2.31	3.75	2.51	Watch
	2.3	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.25)	3.88 ↓ (4.1)	2.43 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ladya Togliatti
39.3%

Draw
23.4%

Loko-76
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

22.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ladya Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Loko-76 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ladya Togliatti than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko-76 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Ladya Togliatti - Loko 76 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Murashov N. (G)	1. Kazantsev Y. (G)
6. Morozov A.	89. Tumanov A.
14. Lineitsev D. (A)	76. Manuilov M.
17. Guryev V.	98. Burmistrov P. (A)
13. Bazhukhin A. (C)	25. Kurnin S. (C)
91. Saranov P.	34. Davydov G.
Line 2
96. Ivonin S.	32. Stramilov I.
88. Stashevsky N.	52. Yablokov A.
9. Vorfolomeyev M. (A)	58. Bazhenov D.
90. Lisenkov M.	17. Beryozkin I. (A)
7. Pavlov M.	66. Kiseyev A.
Line 3
95. Kharitonov G.	33. Luzin I.
21. Pshenitsyn D.	97. Tumanov M.
97. Yegorov A.	10. Kochetkov A.
71. Merkesov Y.	82. Sokol L.
87. Postovoy A.	37. Tauber A.
Line 4
24. Abramov Y.	43. Gashkov T.
79. Medvedev I.	8. Zubov D.
10. Umerov R.	86. Fomin V.
80. Gorshkov F.	21. Klochko A.
23. Ambrosov V.	69. Chernyayev S.
Substitutes
70. Nikonovich M. (G)	31. Borichev D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
02:40, 0 - 1, Chernyayev S. (G), Manuilov M. (A), Kochetkov A. (A2)
03:25, 1 - 1, Postovoy A. (G),
14:02, 2 - 1, Merkesov Y. (G), Yegorov A. (A), Lineitsev D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:46, 2 - 2, Bazhenov D. (G), Manuilov M. (A), Klochko A. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02', 2 - 3, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 2.

Ladya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Loko-76 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Ladya will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ladya won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 46:34. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ladya won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:17. (average 2.5:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Ladya Togliatti - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Loko-76 - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.85%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ladya Togliatti
MHL
23.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:1 ✺
17.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	3:2 ✺
15.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	2:1 OT ✺
12.12.25	Atlant - Ladya Togliatti	2:4 ✺
09.12.25	Belye Medvedi - Ladya Togliatti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL
- Loko-76
MHL
23.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:1 ✺
18.12.25	Loko-76 - Omskye Yastreby	3:1 ✺
15.12.25	Loko-76 - Kuznetskie Medvedi	1:2 ✺
10.12.25	Loko-76 - AKM Novomoskovsk	3:2 OT ✺
03.12.25	Reaktor - Loko-76	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
23.12.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:1
23.11.25	Loko-76 - Ladya Togliatti	3:1
21.11.25	Loko-76 - Ladya Togliatti	1:0
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:4
MHL
20.02.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	2:1 penalties
19.02.25	Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76	3:0
02.11.24	Loko-76 - Ladya Togliatti	3:2 penalties

Ladya Togliatti - Loko-76: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide