Match Info

SWITZERLAND: SWISS LEAGUE - ROUND 29

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Langenthal		Thurgau

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.2	2.75
	1.95	4.1	2.9
	2.07	3.9	2.75
	2.17	3.74	2.7
	2	4	2.75
	2.12	4.1	2.74
	2.09	3.95	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.96)	4 ↓ (4.04)	2.77 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Langenthal
44.4%

Draw
22.8%

Thurgau
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

22.5%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

24%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Langenthal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Thurgau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Langenthal than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Langenthal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Langenthal - Thurgau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Langenthal won 2.

Langenthal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Thurgau is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Thurgau have a series of home games.

Langenthal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 58 head-to-head matches Langenthal won 34 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 24 matches and goals 195-156.

Including matches at home between the teams Langenthal won 18 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 98-72.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Langenthal
Swiss League Hockey
06.12.22	GCK Lions - Langenthal	4:3 penalties ✺
03.12.22	Langenthal - Bellinzona Snakes	2:2 ✺
29.11.22	Langenthal - GCK Lions	4:5 ✺
26.11.22	EHC Basel - Langenthal	4:3 OT ✺
22.11.22	Langenthal - Winterthur	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLW
- HC Thurgau
Swiss League Hockey
07.12.22	Thurgau - Olten	2:4 ✺
03.12.22	Thurgau - Winterthur	4:2 ✺
29.11.22	EHC Basel - Thurgau	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Thurgau - Visp	2:4 ✺
22.11.22	Thurgau - Sierre	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
03.11.22	Thurgau - Langenthal	6:5 penalties
15.10.22	Langenthal - Thurgau	6:3
24.09.22	Thurgau - Langenthal	4:3
21.03.22	Thurgau - Langenthal	2:1 OT
19.03.22	Langenthal - Thurgau	2:1 OT
17.03.22	Thurgau - Langenthal	4:3 OT
15.03.22	Langenthal - Thurgau	1:4

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