The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leningradets 38%
Draw 21.3%
Tverichi 40.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
21.3%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.7%
22.3%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Tverichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tverichi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tverichi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
12:15, 0 - 1, Pudovnikov N. (G), Markeyev Y. (A),
18:34, 1 - 1, Popov N. (G), Eskendarov I. (A), Glyva S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:39, 1 - 2, Markeyev Y. (G), Serov M. (A), Konstantinov A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
00:20, 1 - 3, Konstantinov A. (G), Semyonov I. (A),
00:44, 1 - 4, Pudovnikov N. (G), Kiselyov I. (A),
07:10, 2 - 4, Stepanov I. (G), Borovinsky O. (A), Popov N. (A2)
16:00, 3 - 4, Stepanov I. (G),
19:28, 4 - 4, Andreev A. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Semyonov I. (Penalty Shot),
1, Nimble M. (Penalty Shot),
2, Yurov S. (Penalty Shot),
2, Popov N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Markeyev Y. (Penalty Shot),
3, Glyva S. (Penalty Shot),
4, (Penalty Shot),
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Leningradets (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Tverichi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tverichi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Leningradets has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Leningradets has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:16 (averaging 3.2:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leningradets against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:11 goals (averaging 3:3.7 per game).
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