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Current Win Probability
Calgary Hitmen 37.3%
Draw 21.3%
Red Deer Rebels 41.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
21.2%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
22.2%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Hitmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Red Deer Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Hitmen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calgary Hitmen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Deer Rebels than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Deer Rebels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Calgary Hitmen - Red Deer Rebels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Hesse A. (G)
30. Salisbury N. (G)
17. Amrhein L. (A)
11. Andersen P.
15. Anaka G.
26. Arcand Vandale C.
7. Aura H. (A)
19. Banicevic J.
29. Brown B. (A)
6. Chadi N.
23. Correia A.
15. DeWitt O.
4. Hamilton C.
4. Dillard C.
26. Hildebrandt S.
21. Hamilton B. (C)
21. Jundt K.
25. Jamieson L.
11. Katsuro A.
2. Kamas J.
25. Kresl C.
9. Kuzma C.
5. Laylin B.
7. Lindgren Z. (A)
6. Leander J.
24. Meyer K.
27. Maze J.
3. Missura J. (A)
10. McCann K.
10. Peterson G.
8. Molgachyov A.
28. Pickering G.
9. Sanderson C. (C)
20. Sopiarz P. (A)
2. Simard M.
8. Temple C.
18. Vanek B.
14. Varga K.
Substitutes
31. Tu E. (G)
35. Kondro M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
04:40, 1 - 0, Anaka G. (G), Maze J. (A),
07:13, 2 - 0, Aura H. (G),
08:50, 2 - 1, Peterson G. (G), Varga K. (A), Hamilton B. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
10:40, 3 - 1, Hamilton C. (G), Kresl C. (A), Katsuro A. (A2)
11:04, 4 - 1, Sanderson C. (G), Kresl C. (A), Aura H. (A2)
15:45, 5 - 1, Sanderson C. (G), Kresl C. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
05:25, 5 - 2, Peterson G. (G), Hamilton B. (A), Kamas J. (A2)
16:26, 5 - 3, Hamilton B. (G), Varga K. (A),
17:23, 6 - 3, Sanderson C. (G),
18:54, 7 - 3, Hamilton C. (G), Molgachyov A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Calgary (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Red Deer is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Red Deer could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Red Deer in today's match, at odds of 2.44.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Calgary has recorded 16 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 84:41 (averaging 4.2:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Calgary against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 37:18 goals (averaging 3.7:1.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Red Deer Rebels - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.06%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Hesse A. (G) 
Salisbury N. (G) 
Katsuro A. 
Kamas J. 
Lindgren Z. (A) 
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