Match Info

NORWAY: FJORDKRAFT-LIGAEN

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday

Location: Eidsiva Arena (Lillehammer)


	Lillehammer		Grüner

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.5	2.8
	1.9	4.75	2.9
	1.97	4.35	2.8
	1.87	4.14	3.04
	2.05	4	2.75
	1.91	4.3	3.13
	1.94	4.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.5)	4.32 ↓ (5.14)	2.92 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillehammer
47.3%

Draw
21.3%

Grüner
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

17.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

16.3%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillehammer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillehammer's form might have worsened.

Grüner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grüner's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillehammer than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillehammer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grüner than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grüner, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Lillehammer - Grüner Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lillehammer will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grüner will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Fjordkraft~ligaen (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Fjordkraft~ligaen (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lillehammer won 4.

Both teams have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Lillehammer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lillehammer is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Lillehammer won 13 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 66-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Lillehammer won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 35-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillehammer hockey
Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
23.02.23	Stavanger Oilers - Lillehammer	12:2 ✺
19.02.23	Lillehammer - Manglerud Star	4:5 ✺
16.02.23	Lillehammer - Stjernen	3:6 ✺
04.02.23	Frisk Tigers - Lillehammer	9:3 ✺
02.02.23	Lillehammer - Vålerenga	1:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Grüner IL
Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
23.02.23	Grüner - Stjernen	1:10 ✺
18.02.23	Frisk Tigers - Grüner	9:3 ✺
16.02.23	Grüner - Vålerenga	2:6 ✺
14.02.23	Sparta Warriors - Grüner	5:2 ✺
04.02.23	Storhamar Dragons - Grüner	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Ligaen Hockey
21.01.23	Grüner - Lillehammer	5:0
08.12.22	Lillehammer - Grüner	4:2
29.10.22	Grüner - Lillehammer	2:3 penalties
02.10.22	Lillehammer - Grüner	3:0
10.02.22	Grüner - Lillehammer	2:4
06.01.22	Grüner - Lillehammer	7:5
20.11.21	Lillehammer - Grüner	3:1

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