Match Info

SHL

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Saab Arena (Linköping)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Linköping		Malmö Redhawks

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.3	2.8
	2.3	3.95	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.87
	2.13	3.75	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.6
	2.26	4.05	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.29)	3.93 ↓ (4.14)	2.78 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linköping
42.3%

Draw
23.9%

Malmö Redhawks
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

22.5%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

21.1%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Malmö Redhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linköping than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö Redhawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Linköping - Malmö Redhawks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
36. Ignatjew W. (G)	40. Blomgren O. (G)
26. Martin M.	49. Barton S.
5. Fantenberg O. (A)	42. Salo R. (A)
23. Kovacs R.	91. Sundberg A.
71. Bakke Olsen E.	63. Handemark F. (C)
92. Nybeck Z.	95. Persson C.
Line 2
8. Myrenberg J.	7. Niemela T.
48. Kokkonen M.	6. Viro E.
13. Vrana J.	48. Pajuniemi L.
73. Shore N.	22. Kuokkanen J. (A)
38. Sodergran J.	13. Vesterheim P.
Line 3
2. Rissanen R.	4. Schreiber M.
9. Noren E.	74. Carell F.
19. Larsson L.	32. Ikonen Jo.
61. Ljungh M. (A)	78. Hanzl R.
21. Ehn C. (C)	71. Nilsson I.
Line 4
40. Bernhardt D.	11. Pedrotti E.
14. Krantz L.	12. Oberg L.
20. Johnsson J.	9. Hemstrom K.
53. Hofbauer A.	10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.
Substitutes
18. Elie R.	24. Bjorkman F.
31. Myrenberg J. (G)	94. Langhamer M. (G)
Coaches
. Hakanson M.	. Kollar T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:44, Ljungh M. (2 min),
14:00, (2 min),
14:59, 0 - 1, Kuokkanen J. (G), Salo R. (A), Pajuniemi L. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:32, 1 - 1, Rissanen R. (G), Kovacs R. (A), Bakke Olsen E. (A2)
05:07, 2 - 1, Bakke Olsen E. (G), Kovacs R. (A), Nybeck Z. (A2)
16:43, 3 - 1, Elie R. (G), Shore N. (A), Vrana J. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:58, Schreiber M. (2 min),
04:41, 4 - 1, Bakke Olsen E. (G), Kovacs R. (A), Fantenberg O. (A2)
05:48, Handemark F. (2 min),
06:22, 5 - 1, Kovacs R. (G), Fantenberg O. (A), Ljungh M. (A2)
08:59, Schreiber M. (2 min),
11:38, Sodergran J. (2 min),
12:24, Noren E. (2 min),
13:06, 5 - 2, Pajuniemi L. (G), Kuokkanen J. (A), Sundberg A. (A2)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linköping won 2.

Linköping has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Malmö has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Malmö may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linköping won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 47:56. (average 2.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Linköping won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 2.6:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Malmo	7	2	1	2	2	18:22	10
13	Linkoping	6	2	0	1	3	11:18	7

Last Results with these Odds

Linköping - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linkopings HC
SHL
26.02.26	Växjö Lakers - Linköping	3:2 ✺
24.02.26	Linköping - Leksand	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Linköping - Rögle	3:4 penalties ✺
19.02.26	Linköping - Färjestad	2:4 ✺
07.02.26	Djurgården - Linköping	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
26.02.26	Malmö Redhawks - Örebro	1:4 ✺
21.02.26	Växjö Lakers - Malmö Redhawks	4:3 ✺
19.02.26	Timrå - Malmö Redhawks	5:2 ✺
07.02.26	Malmö Redhawks - HV71	3:2 ✺
05.02.26	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
03.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	5:0
04.12.25	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	3:0
27.09.25	Linköping - Malmö Redhawks	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.09.25	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	1:2
SHL
04.03.25	Linköping - Malmö Redhawks	3:0
30.12.24	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	2:3 OT
31.10.24	Linköping - Malmö Redhawks	3:0

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