Match Info

SHL

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Malmö Arena (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Netherlands	Viaplay
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	TV4 Hockey, TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2


	Malmö Redhawks		Rögle

	1	X	2
	3	4.2	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.9	2.15
	2.96	3.97	2.16
	3.1	3.47	2.1
	3.14	3.69	2.09	Watch
	2.7	3.8	2.15
	3.03	4.05	2.06	Watch
	3	4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.41)	3.89 ↓ (4.17)	2.11 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö Redhawks
31.5%

Draw
24.1%

Rögle
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

22.4%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

24.2%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö Redhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Malmö Redhawks's form might have worsened.

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rögle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Malmö Redhawks - Rögle Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rögle (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Blomgren O. (G)	65. Rifalk C. (G)
49. Barton S.	95. Friedman M.
42. Salo R.	16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
91. Sundberg A.	52. Nilsson F.
63. Handemark F. (C)	22. Olofsson F. (A)
95. Persson C.	62. Horky L.
Line 2
7. Niemela T.	58. Johansson F.
6. Viro E.	44. de Haan C.
48. Pajuniemi L.	67. Bristedt L. (A)
22. Kuokkanen J. (A)	23. Dickinson J.
32. Ikonen Jo.	83. Kuhlman K.
Line 3
74. Carell F.	6. LaDue P.
17. Ivarsson J. (A)	51. Sjalin C.
13. Vesterheim P.	18. Everberg D. (C)
78. Hanzl R.	37. Sundsvik A.
10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.	41. Zether S.
Line 4
4. Schreiber M.	45. Biber G.
12. Oberg L.	8. Sandin L.
20. Berg-Paulsen T.	27. Sjodin L.
24. Bjorkman F.	72. Zaar D.
Substitutes
94. Langhamer M. (G)	75. Holm A. (G)
16. Olofsson V.	32. Solberg I.
Coaches
. Kollar T.	. Tangnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
05:47, 0 - 1, Dickinson J. (G), Bristedt L. (A), de Haan C. (A2)
12:58, 0 - 2, Sjalin C. (G), Nilsson F. (A), Rifalk C. (A2)
19:50, 0 - 3, Sjalin C. (G), LaDue P. (A), Sundsvik A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
14:33, 1 - 3, Oberg L. (G), Bjorkman F. (A),
14:33, Johansson F. (2 min),
14:33, de Haan C. (2 min),
14:33, Schreiber M. (2 min),
14:33, Berg-Paulsen T. (2 min),
15:33, Bjorkman F. (2 min),
15:33, Zaar D. (2 min),
18:10, Hanzl R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:27, Dickinson J. (2 min),
03:42, Sandin L. (2 min),
03:42, Pajuniemi L. (2 min),
06:20, 1 - 4, Solberg I. (G), Sjalin C. (A), LaDue P. (A2)
10:08, Hanzl R. (2 min),
16:12, Bristedt L. (2 min),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Malmö has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rögle has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Malmö will win today's game, with odds of 2.55.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:53. (average 2.6:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 2.1:3.1).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.28% Malmo: 1.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11
7	Malmo	6	2	1	2	1	16:16	10

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö Redhawks - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Rögle - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
31.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Djurgården	2:5 ✺
29.01.26	Luleå - Malmö Redhawks	5:3 ✺
27.01.26	Timrå - Malmö Redhawks	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Djurgården - Malmö Redhawks	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LLWWW
- Rögle BK
SHL
31.01.26	Rögle - Timrå	3:1 ✺
29.01.26	Rögle - Djurgården	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Rögle - Skellefteå	5:0 ✺
22.01.26	Leksand - Rögle	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
17.01.26	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	4:6
23.10.25	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	5:3
16.10.25	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	2:3
15.03.25	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	0:3
13.03.25	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	2:1 OT
11.03.25	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	3:2 OT
30.01.25	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	0:4

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