Match Info

NMHL

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday


	Lipetsk		Progress Glazov

	1	X	2
	4.73	4.85	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (2.61)	4.85 ↑ (4.2)	1.47 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipetsk
19.3%

Draw
18.8%

Progress Glazov
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

21.7%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

20.7%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lipetsk's form might have worsened.

Progress Glazov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Progress Glazov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipetsk than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lipetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progress Glazov than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Progress Glazov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Lipetsk - Progress Glazov Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Progress Glazov will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:5

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
14:13, 0 - 1, Fedorov M. (G), Sorokin N. (A), Aristov L. (A2)
19:54, 1 - 1, Butenko I. (G), Timokhin T. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:01, 2 - 1, Zarechnev I. (G), Kunafin D. (A),
07:32, 2 - 2, Marchinskiy M. (G), Sorokin N. (A), Savin V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:51, 2 - 3, Matveyev D. (G), Fyodorov M. (A), Marchinskiy M. (A2)
07:30, 3 - 3, Khudin A. (G), Butenko I. (A), Ptashnikov M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, Zaripov F. (Penalty Shot),
1, Bortnikov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Mikov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Stratinsky N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Savin V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Zarechnev I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Aristov L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kunafin D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Borodinov I. (Penalty Shot),
5, Richard M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lipetsk won 0.

Lipetsk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Progress Glazov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lipetsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Progress Glazov has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lipetsk won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 71:82. (average 3.6:4.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lipetsk won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 44:52. (average 3.7:4.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Lipetsk
RHL
14.12.25	Lipetsk - Progress Glazov	4:5 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Lipetsk - Tambov	1:4 ✺
06.12.25	Lipetsk - Tambov	2:3 OT ✺
23.11.25	Ermak Angarsk - Lipetsk	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Ermak Angarsk - Lipetsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Progress Glazov
RHL
14.12.25	Lipetsk - Progress Glazov	4:5 penalties ✺
07.12.25	Progress Glazov - Ermak Angarsk	2:9 ✺
06.12.25	Progress Glazov - Ermak Angarsk	1:3 ✺
03.12.25	Progress Glazov - MHK Ryazan	1:2 ✺
02.12.25	Progress Glazov - MHK Ryazan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
14.12.25	Lipetsk - Progress Glazov	4:5 penalties
27.01.25	Progress Glazov - Lipetsk	10:2
04.12.24	Lipetsk - Progress Glazov	3:7
03.12.24	Lipetsk - Progress Glazov	4:8
14.02.24	Progress Glazov - Lipetsk	4:3
13.02.24	Progress Glazov - Lipetsk	1:2
05.10.23	Lipetsk - Progress Glazov	4:2

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