Match Info

SHL - Round 3

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Coop Norrbotten Arena (Luleå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Sweden	TV4 Sport Live 1


	Luleå		Frölunda

	1	X	2
	2.10	4.25	3.00	Watch
	2.30	3.90	2.65
	2.25	4.00	2.70	Watch
	2.14	3.60	3.07
	2.26	4.07	2.66	Watch
	2.11	3.55	3.00
	2.12	4.05	2.91	Watch
	2.13	3.90	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.4)	3.92 ↑ (3.72)	2.86 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
43.1%

Draw
24%

Frölunda
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

24.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

27.3%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Frölunda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luleå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frölunda than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frölunda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Luleå - Frölunda Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Frölunda will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Goals, OT - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Ward M. (G)	1. Johansson L. (G)
27. Laaksonen O.	6. Hasa F.
29. Gustafsson E. (C)	7. Tommernes H. (A)
48. Puustinen V.	11. Fagemo S.
96. Andreasson P.	44. Peterson J.
86. Brome M.	92. Cederqvist F. (A)
Line 2
23. Sellgren J. (A)	43. Nilsson T.
82. Leskinen O.	33. Hogberg L.
51. Nurmi M.	12. Friberg M. (C)
45. Koppanen J.	16. Meijer B.
76. Levtchi A.	21. Puistola P.
Line 3
26. Sjostrom O.	8. Johannesson S.
32. Engsund O.	26. Heens I.
72. Tardif B.	9. Clarke G.
91. O'Neill B. (A)	70. Dower Nilsson L.
6. Hedqvist I.	77. Lindholm M.
Line 4
39. Sjalin P. (A)	3. Milosevic S.
17. Brannstrom I.	27. Olausson O.
25. Eriksson F.	40. Hasa N.
20. Juustovaara Karlsson C.	10. Westergard M.
Substitutes
15. Granberg D.	64. Klyvoe M.
34. Lassinantti J. (G)	50. Thegerstrom W. (G)
Coaches
. Hall D.	. Ohlsson R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
05:16, Levtchi A. (2 min),
05:16, Cederqvist F. (2 min),
05:16, Nurmi M. (2 min),
05:16, Milosevic S. (2 min),
12:24, 1 - 0, Koppanen J. (G), Nurmi M. (A), Laaksonen O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 6)
07:24, 1 - 1, Clarke G. (G), Meijer B. (A), Lindholm M. (A2)
11:13, 1 - 2, Hogberg L. (G), Clarke G. (A), Nilsson T. (A2)
15:37, 1 - 3, Westergard M. (G), Olausson O. (A), Meijer B. (A2)
17:37, 1 - 4, Clarke G. (G), Lindholm M. (A),
18:00, 1 - 5, Meijer B. (G), Westergard M. (A),
18:27, 1 - 6, Peterson J. (G), Cederqvist F. (A),
19:23, Lindholm M. (2 min),
19:37, 2 - 6, Eriksson F. (G), Sjostrom O. (A), Tardif B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:01, Ward M. ↓, Lassinantti J. ↑,
03:05, 3 - 6, Puustinen V. (G), Laaksonen O. (A), Gustafsson E. (A2)
08:40, Clarke G. (2 min),
11:54, Westergard M. (2 min),
15:38, 3 - 7, Westergard M. (G), Johansson L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 3.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Frölunda may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Luleå has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 47:54 (averaging 2.4:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Luleå against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 28:24 goals (averaging 2.8:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Frolunda	7	5	1	0	1	24:17	17
9	Lulea	8	3	0	1	4	20:26	10

Last Results with these Odds

Luleå - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.57%, but this team recently wins 24% of matches with these odds.

Frölunda - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 36.59%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luleå HF
SHL
19.09.26	Luleå - Rögle	4:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
10.09.26	Brynäs - Luleå	3:4 ✺
08.09.26	Timrå - Luleå	4:3 ✺
03.09.26	Luleå - Björklöven	2:1 ✺
01.09.26	Luleå - Modo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWW
- Frölunda HC
SHL
22.09.26	Frölunda - Färjestad	3:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Frölunda - Växjö Lakers	5:4 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Storhamar Dragons - Frölunda	3:5 ✺
10.09.26	Kölner Haie - Frölunda	5:2 ✺
06.09.26	Frölunda - KooKoo	2:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
02.04.26	Luleå - Frölunda	1:0
31.03.26	Frölunda - Luleå	2:1
29.03.26	Luleå - Frölunda	4:3 OT
27.03.26	Luleå - Frölunda	2:1 OT
25.03.26	Frölunda - Luleå	7:0
23.03.26	Frölunda - Luleå	2:3 OT
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.03.26	Frölunda - Luleå	3:2 OT

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