Match Info

D1 - Round 13

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday


	Lyon		Épinal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	5.03	1.56	Watch
	2.3	4	2.3
	2.34	3.94	2.34
	2.25	4.25	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.25)	4.31 ↑ (4.25)	2.11 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
34.1%

Draw
21.7%

Épinal
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

20.9%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

17.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.

Épinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Épinal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lyon - Épinal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
3rd Period (2 - 1)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 2.

In recent matches, Lyon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Épinal is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 42:45. (average 3:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 3.4:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyon HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
02.12.25	Lyon - Drakkars de Caen	1:5 ✺
29.11.25	Lyon - Morzine-Avoriaz	6:1 ✺
French Hockey Cup
25.11.25	Lyon - Briançon	5:3 ✺
French D1 Ice Hockey
22.11.25	Lyon - Diables Rouges de Valenciennes	5:1 ✺
19.11.25	Neuilly-sur-Marne - Lyon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWL
- Épinal HC
French D1 Ice Hockey
03.12.25	Épinal - Strasbourg	5:6 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Épinal - SOC Hockey sur Glace	5:2 ✺
French Hockey Cup
25.11.25	Épinal - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	0:3 ✺
French D1 Ice Hockey
22.11.25	Épinal - Morzine-Avoriaz	3:4 ✺
19.11.25	Diables Rouges de Valenciennes - Épinal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
24.01.18	Lyon - Épinal	0:5
23.01.18	Lyon - Épinal	6:4
23.12.17	Épinal - Lyon	2:0
29.10.17	Épinal - Lyon	3:2
05.02.17	Lyon - Épinal	4:1
06.01.17	Épinal - Lyon	3:4 OT
20.11.16	Épinal - Lyon	0:3

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