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Current Win Probability
Magnitka Magnitogorsk 55.7%
Draw 22.3%
Izhstal 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
19.5%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.7%
18.1%
10.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Magnitka Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Magnitka Magnitogorsk's form might have worsened.
Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Izhstal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+19%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Magnitka Magnitogorsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Izhstal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Izhstal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
23. Amirbekov J. (G)
1. Skovronsky A. (G)
21. Yegorov A.
3. Yuzlenko Y.
7. Timashov N.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)
84. Fedorov M.
17. Dyuryagin D.
15. Grass M.
10. Astashevsky S.
98. Fursa A.
41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
32. Shetle E.
50. Zhdanov Y.
4. Zhloba N. (C)
23. Glebov G. (A)
31. Mirzabalayev A.
88. Rymarev Y.
13. Zimin N. (A)
27. Pukelo K.
88. Rybin I.
99. Ogirchuk D.
Line 3
63. Vaulin M.
75. Vinogradov A. (C)
6. Gromov N.
7. Kudryashov I.
95. Osipovich B.
13. Popugayev N.
97. Galenyuk M.
9. Redkov A.
36. Mastryukov A.
19. Axyonov A.
Line 4
77. Kuzyakin A.
11. Slepkov I.
37. Gololobov D.
12. Reshetnikov K.
99. Kovgorenya A.
21. Pugachyov A.
25. Serazetdinov D.
91. Dergunov P.
9. Boltanov A. (A)
44. Yakupov R.
Substitutes
35. Moiseyev G. (G)
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:38, 1 - 0, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Gololobov D. (A), Yegorov A. (A2)
09:01, 1 - 1, Zhdanov Y. (G), Pukelo K. (A), Ogirchuk D. (A2)
15:48, 1 - 2, Yerofeyev A. (G), Astashevsky S. (A), Glebov G. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
02:02, 2 - 2, Boltanov A. (G), Grass M. (A), Gololobov D. (A2)
14:43, 2 - 3, Dyuryagin D. (G), Popugayev N. (A),
16:43, 2 - 4, Yerofeyev A. (G), Popugayev N. (A), Dyuryagin D. (A2)
20', 3 - 4, (G),
Preview
Magnitka has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Izhstal has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Izhstal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Magnitka has had a series of home games.
In this match, Magnitka is a strong favorite.
We predict that Magnitka will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Magnitka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).
Including home match between the teams, Magnitka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
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Amirbekov J. (G) 
Skovronsky A. (G) 
Yuzlenko Y. 
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