The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yuzhny Ural Orsk 50.1%
Draw 25.5%
Izhstal 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.8%
21.2%
13%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.3%
20.4%
12.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yuzhny Ural Orsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yuzhny Ural Orsk's form might have worsened.
Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Izhstal's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuzhny Ural Orsk than the current prediction. (+18.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yuzhny Ural Orsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Izhstal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Izhstal Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
21. Nikishin M. (G)
43. Volkov G. (G)
24. Salnikov E.
75. Vinogradov A. (C)
27. Ostrovsky S.
26. Petrikov Y. (A)
41. Paramonov D.
17. Dyuryagin D.
19. Litvinov I. (C)
10. Astashevsky S.
51. Kulyash D.
41. Yerofeyev A.
Line 2
71. Kupchikhin P.
50. Zhdanov Y.
17. Kovalchuk P.
23. Glebov G. (A)
97. Byakin M.
88. Rymarev Y.
96. Kurkin M.
27. Pukelo K.
73. Prokhorov A. (A)
99. Ogirchuk D.
Line 3
39. Shabalin A.
8. Sushinsky I.
29. Papst R.
3. Yuzlenko Y.
72. Rvachev V.
44. Yakupov R.
15. Putilov A.
36. Poyarkov D.
98. Kuimov Y.
13. Popugayev N.
Line 4
8. Vikulin K.
11. Slepkov I.
2. Konavichev V.
12. Reshetnikov K.
79. Timashev I.
21. Pugachyov A.
91. Suslov K. (A)
91. Dergunov
11. Mylnikov D.
19. Axyonov A.
Substitutes
60. Ovcharik D. (G)
34. Tabatchikov V. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
02:37, 0 - 1, Dergunov P. (G), Petrikov Y. (A), Axyonov A. (A2)
03:02, 1 - 1, Salnikov E. (G), Paramonov D. (A), Kulyash D. (A2)
07:40, 2 - 1, Kuimov Y. (G), Putilov A. (A),
13:34, 3 - 1, Mylnikov D. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
02:01, 3 - 2, Zhdanov Y. (G), Axyonov A. (A), Rymarev Y. (A2)
16:24, 4 - 2, Prokhorov A. (G), Byakin M. (A), Papst R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:22, 4 - 3, Dyuryagin D. (G),
10:50, 4 - 4, Yakupov R. (G), Poyarkov D. (A), Yuzlenko Y. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Rymarev Y. (Penalty Shot),
1, Prokhorov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Ogirchuk D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kulyash D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Poyarkov D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Suslov K. (Penalty Shot),
4, Astashevsky S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Rvachev V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Dyuryagin D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Paramonov D. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 2.
Recent performances by Yuzhny Ural have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Izhstal has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Yuzhny Ural may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Yuzhny Ural is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yuzhny Ural won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 54:42. (average 2.7:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Yuzhny Ural won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 2.5:1.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Izhstal - the odds 7.21 are the expected chance of winning is 12.96%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Nikishin M. (G) 
Litvinov I. (C) 
Rymarev Y. 
Dergunov 
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