Match Info

SHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Malmö Arena (Malmö)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Malmö Redhawks		Skellefteå

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.75	1.77	Watch
	3.7	4.05	1.88	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.82
	3.91	3.92	1.81	Watch
	3.5	4.2	1.75
	3.75	4.3	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (3.92)	4.19 ↑ (3.84)	1.81 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Malmö Redhawks
25.2%

Draw
22.6%

Skellefteå
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.3%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

25.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Malmö Redhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Skellefteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skellefteå than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Malmö Redhawks - Skellefteå Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Langhamer M. (G)	38. Mann S. (G)
49. Barton S.	25. Johansson P.
42. Salo R. (A)	52. Lundberg A.
91. Sundberg A.	12. Lindberg V.
63. Handemark F. (C)	33. Forsfjall Z.
95. Persson C.	72. Vuollet O.
Line 2
7. Niemela T.	64. Pudas J. (C)
6. Viro E.	3. Grahn V.
12. Oberg L.	29. Aagaard M.
78. Hanzl R.	24. Lindberg O. (A)
13. Vesterheim P.	96. Hugg R. (A)
Line 3
74. Carell F.	43. Krogdahl M.
11. Pedrotti E.	57. Djuse E.
48. Pajuniemi L.	71. Davidsson J.
22. Kuokkanen J. (A)	22. Johnson J.
32. Ikonen Jo.	8. Okuliar O.
Line 4
41. Pagels I.	6. Forsfjall M.
24. Bjorkman F.	14. Johnson A.
10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.	9. Stjernborg V.
71. Nilsson I.	15. Bryggman L.
Substitutes
40. Blomgren O. (G)	31. Lampinen J. (G)
35. Goransson A. (G)	27. Lundberg M.
9. Hemstrom K.	32. Soderstrom L. (G)
Coaches
. Kollar T.	. Hermansson D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:15, Hemstrom K. (2 min),
08:19, Johnson J. (2 min),
10:08, Forsfjall Z. (2 min),
14:45, Pudas J. (2 min),
18:07, 1 - 0, Salo R. (G), Vesterheim P. (A), Hanzl R. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
13:39, 1 - 1, Vuollet O. (G), Krogdahl M. (A), Lindberg V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
06:14, Forsfjall Z. (2 min),
07:33, 2 - 1, Niemela T. (G), Oberg L. (A), Hanzl R. (A2)

Preview

Skelleftea leads series 3-0. Fourth leg.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Malmö is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Skellefteå is Qualified for SHL (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 0.

In recent matches, Malmö has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Skellefteå is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Skellefteå is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malmö won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 59:73. (average 3:3.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Malmö won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:30. (average 3.6:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Skelleftea	7	3	1	1	2	25:19	12
8	Malmo	7	2	1	2	2	18:22	10

Last Results with these Odds

Malmö Redhawks - the odds 3.92 are the expected chance of winning is 23.82%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
27.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Skellefteå	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	3:2 ✺
23.03.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Djurgården	3:1 ✺
19.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Djurgården	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW
- Skellefteå AIK
SHL
27.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Skellefteå	2:4 ✺
25.03.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	3:2 ✺
23.03.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:1 ✺
14.03.26	Djurgården - Skellefteå	2:3 ✺
12.03.26	Skellefteå - Linköping	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
27.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Skellefteå	2:4
25.03.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	3:2
23.03.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:1
07.03.26	Malmö Redhawks - Skellefteå	6:7
15.01.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:1
22.11.25	Malmö Redhawks - Skellefteå	1:2 OT
18.10.25	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	5:1

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