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Current Win Probability
Mamonty Yugry 43.2%
Draw 23.8%
Loko-76 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
20.9%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60%
22.6%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mamonty Yugry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mamonty Yugry's form might have worsened.
Loko-76 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loko-76's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamonty Yugry than the current prediction. (+16.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mamonty Yugry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko-76 than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loko-76, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mamonty Yugry - Loko 76 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Loko-76 (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Loko-76 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
29. Fudymovsky M. (G)
1. Kazantsev Y. (G)
91. Sakharov M.
41. Kriklivy M.
57. Bloshenko A.
33. Luzin I.
14. Malykhin T.
86. Fomin V.
84. Galimuk R.
21. Klochko A.
77. Kochurin S.
38. Kotkov M.
Line 2
44. Shevtsov V.
76. Manuilov M. (A)
43. Nagovitsyn A.
73. Luzanov D.
10. Starostin D.
66. Kiseyev A.
68. Sukharev K. (C)
17. Beryozkin I. (A)
72. Kaliyev A. (A)
12. Maslenitsyn M.
Line 3
93. Kharitonov T.
89. Tumanov A.
5. Podguzov A. (A)
8. Zubov D.
15. Konyukov A.
65. Meshkov S.
63. Izyurov A.
11. Porada I.
92. Gurevich I.
67. Shlyukov A.
Line 4
86. Manuilov A.
32. Stramilov I.
23. Potapov F.
42. Semenenko D.
96. Lytkin A.
96. Polyakov I. (C)
24. Andriyevsky S.
37. Tauber A.
21. Menshchikov I.
34. Davydov G.
Substitutes
25. Didenko D. (G)
31. Borichev D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
11:31, 1 - 0, Starostin D. (G), Kaliyev A. (A), Sukharev K. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:37, 2 - 0, Gurevich I. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
01:17, 3 - 0, Konyukov A. (G), Gurevich I. (A),
19:41, 4 - 0, Starostin D. (G), Manuilov A. (A), Sakharov M. (A2)
Preview
Mamonty Yugry is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
Loko-76 is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamonty Yugry won 5.
Mamonty Yugry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Loko-76 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Loko-76 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mamonty Yugry has had a series of away games.
Recently, Loko-76 has had a series of home games.
Mamonty Yugry could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mamonty Yugry won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 59:22. (average 4.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Mamonty Yugry won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 4.8:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Mamonty Yugry - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.36%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Loko-76 - the odds 3.87 are the expected chance of winning is 23.75%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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