Match Info

MHL

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday


	Tolpar		Mamonty Yugry

	1	X	2
	1.99	4.3	3.06
	1.96	4.05	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 (1.98)	4.18 ↑ (4.1)	3.04 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolpar
47.1%

Draw
22.3%

Mamonty Yugry
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

22.6%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

24.8%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The chances for Mamonty Yugry have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamonty Yugry than the current prediction. (+3%)

Tolpar - Mamonty Yugry Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Mamonty Yugry (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mamonty Yugry (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Tkachyov K. (G)	25. Didenko D. (G)
86. Volkov D.	93. Kharitonov T.
76. Pykhtin D. (C)	23. Potapov F.
11. Shaykhlislamov A.	98. Tsyplakov G.
37. Zagrebin M.	68. Sukharev K. (C)
28. Akhsyanov B. (A)	92. Gurevich I.
Line 2
23. Khafzetdinov A.	44. Shevtsov V.
98. Zayets D.	57. Bloshenko A.
9. Petrenko D.	10. Starostin D.
87. Buzdyganov V.	84. Galimuk R.
75. Shebyakin M.	77. Kochurin S.
Line 3
16. Khusainov R.	5. Podguzov A. (A)
24. Karasyov M.	43. Nagovitsyn A.
97. Faizov A.	96. Lytkin A.
67. Khabibullin A. (A)	63. Izyurov A.
26. Degtyarev M.	15. Konyukov A.
Line 4
58. Plotnikov D.	91. Sakharov M.
78. Zhuk A.	86. Manuilov A.
63. Makarkin A.	14. Malykhin T.
18. Kireyev R.	72. Kaliyev A. (A)
14. Akhmetov Y.	21. Menshchikov I.
Substitutes
99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)	29. Fudymovsky M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:15, 1 - 0, Zagrebin M. (Penalty Shot),
06:39, 2 - 0, Akhsyanov B. (G), Zagrebin M. (A), Zayets D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:57, 3 - 0, Khabibullin A. (G), Faizov A. (A), Khusainov R. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:57, 4 - 0, Shebyakin M. (G), Petrenko D. (A), Buzdyganov V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Tolpar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Mamonty Yugry has had a series of away games.

Tolpar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tolpar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:70. (average 2.3:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tolpar won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:37. (average 2.8:3.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Tolpar - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.78%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
10.03.26	Tolpar - Mamonty Yugry	1:2 OT ✺
07.03.26	Tolpar - Krasnoyarskie Rysi	4:2 ✺
05.03.26	Tolpar - Sibirskie Snaypery	7:1 ✺
02.03.26	Sputnik Almetyevsk - Tolpar	3:8 ✺
27.02.26	Reaktor - Tolpar	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Mamonty Yugry
MHL
10.03.26	Tolpar - Mamonty Yugry	1:2 OT ✺
06.03.26	Molot Perm - Mamonty Yugry	2:6 ✺
01.03.26	Mamonty Yugry - Tyumensky Legion	9:0 ✺
24.02.26	Sibirskie Snaypery - Mamonty Yugry	4:3 OT ✺
21.02.26	Snezhnye Barsy - Mamonty Yugry	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
10.03.26	Tolpar - Mamonty Yugry	1:2 OT
02.11.25	Mamonty Yugry - Tolpar	4:3 OT
01.11.25	Mamonty Yugry - Tolpar	3:2
23.10.24	Mamonty Yugry - Tolpar	3:2 penalties
25.09.24	Tolpar - Mamonty Yugry	3:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.24	Tolpar - Mamonty Yugry	3:4 OT
MHL
20.02.24	Tolpar - Mamonty Yugry	1:5

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