Match Info

SWEDEN: AllEttan Södra

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Mariestad BoIS		Troja Ljungby

	1	X	2
	2.07	4.1	2.65
	2.2	4.12	2.52
	2.25	4.21	2.51	Watch
	2.2	3.9	2.45
	2.2	3.92	2.62	Watch
	2.07	4.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.46)	4.06 ↓ (4.1)	2.57 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariestad BoIS
42.1%

Draw
22.4%

Troja Ljungby
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

22.6%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

22.5%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariestad BoIS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariestad BoIS than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Mariestad BoIS - Troja Ljungby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:55, 1 - 0, Loof L. (G), Weino W. (A), Cederholm L. (A2)
18:41, 2 - 0, Linden J. (G), Stenlund L. (A), Pettersson M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:38, 3 - 0, Linden J. (G), Aronsson T. (A), Smedberg E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:59, 4 - 0, Stenlund L. (G), Axelsson A. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mariestad won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mariestad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Mariestad to win the game is with odds 2.24.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Mariestad won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 39:39 (average 2.4:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Mariestad won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:20 (average 2.3:2.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Mariestad BoIS - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariestad BoIS HC
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
12.02.25	Halmstad - Mariestad BoIS	2:3 ✺
08.02.25	Mariestad BoIS - Dalen	1:2 penalties ✺
05.02.25	Visby Roma - Mariestad BoIS	3:4 OT ✺
02.02.25	Mariestad BoIS - Karlskrona	4:3 OT ✺
31.01.25	Tranås - Mariestad BoIS	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWWL
- Troja Ljungby
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
12.02.25	Visby Roma - Troja Ljungby	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Troja Ljungby - Halmstad	5:1 ✺
05.02.25	Tranås - Troja Ljungby	2:1 penalties ✺
31.01.25	Troja Ljungby - Tyresö Hanviken	1:2 ✺
29.01.25	Västervik - Troja Ljungby	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey AllEttan Södra
18.01.25	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	2:3 OT
29.01.23	Mariestad BoIS - Troja Ljungby	2:8
28.12.22	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	3:5
Swedish Hockey AllEttan Play Offs
28.04.21	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	3:2 OT
22.04.21	Mariestad BoIS - Troja Ljungby	2:3
Swedish HockeyEttan Ostra
26.02.21	Troja Ljungby - Mariestad BoIS	1:2 penalties
24.02.21	Mariestad BoIS - Troja Ljungby	1:3

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