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Current Win Probability
Medicine Hat Tigers 50.7%
Draw 19.2%
Victoria Royals 30%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
18.6%
21.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
20.3%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Medicine Hat Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Medicine Hat Tigers's form might have worsened.
Victoria Royals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Royals's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Medicine Hat Tigers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Royals than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Royals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Medicine Hat Tigers - Victoria Royals Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Victoria (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Victoria (votes: 1 - 100%).
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Casey C. (G)
1. Prelusky C. (G)
10. Bryzgalov Y.
89. Cooper M. (C)
7. Burmis J.
16. Danyleyko W.
16. Cozens L. (A)
24. Kohn J.
36. Craig J.
9. Matthews C.
21. Drott A.
19. Moore H. (A)
23. Evaschesen J. (A)
18. Novak F.
11. Gordon-Carroll S.
73. Peroutka M.
24. Holberton B.
11. Perreault L. (A)
4. Kor G.
22. Peterson H.
5. McCann K.
88. Schmidt C.
2. Moss T.
7. Schulte S.
18. Pasler D.
91. Silver M.
6. Phillips M.
17. Stewart N. (A)
14. Reschny D. (A)
53. Uhrina D.
12. Ruck L.
4. Vauhkonen O.
26. Ruck M.
14. Virk S.
15. Ruptash L.
44. Yellowaga N.
3. Steen R.
74. Young L.
Substitutes
35. Christie C. (G)
31. Downey A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:20, 0 - 1, Perreault L. (G), Virk S. (A), Schmidt C. (A2)
19:50, 1 - 1, Cozens L. (G), Bryzgalov Y. (A), Gordon-Carroll S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:21, 1 - 2, Uhrina D. (G), Danyleyko W. (A), Silver M. (A2)
09:11, 1 - 3, Uhrina D. (G), Danyleyko W. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
05:43, 1 - 4, Matthews C. (G), Novak F. (A), Yellowaga N. (A2)
11:13, 1 - 5, Novak F. (G), Stewart N. (A), Peroutka M. (A2)
16:02, 1 - 6, Virk S. (G), Schmidt C. (A), Vauhkonen O. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medicine Hat won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Victoria could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Medicine Hat has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:57 (averaging 3.3:3.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Medicine Hat against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 35:26 goals (averaging 3.9:2.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Medicine Hat Tigers - the odds 1.54 are the expected chance of winning is 60.23%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.