Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday


	Merrimack Warriors		Providence Friars

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.9	1.79
	3.89	4.05	1.81
	3.5	4.05	1.76
	3.4	4	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.9)	4 ↓ (4.3)	1.78 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
25.6%

Draw
22.9%

Providence Friars
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

20.9%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

19.7%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Providence Friars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Providence could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Providence will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Merrimack won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Merrimack won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors hockey
NCAA Hockey
17.02.24	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	4:1 ✺
16.02.24	Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors	2:5 ✺
10.02.24	Merrimack Warriors - New Hampshire Wildcats	3:1 ✺
09.02.24	Boston University Terriers - Merrimack Warriors	7:1 ✺
03.02.24	New Hampshire Wildcats - Merrimack Warriors	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLL
- Providence Friars hockey
NCAA Hockey
24.02.24	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Providence Friars	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Boston University Terriers - Providence Friars	5:2 ✺
16.02.24	Providence Friars - Boston University Terriers	3:2 penalties ✺
10.02.24	Maine Black Bears - Providence Friars	3:4 OT ✺
09.02.24	Maine Black Bears - Providence Friars	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
14.01.23	Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars	3:0
13.01.23	Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars	3:8
31.12.22	Merrimack Warriors - Providence Friars	1:6
10.12.22	Providence Friars - Merrimack Warriors	2:3

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