Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	UMass Lowell River Hawks		Providence Friars

	1	X	2
	2.9	4	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↓ (2.95)	4 (4)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UMass Lowell River Hawks
31.9%

Draw
23.1%

Providence Friars
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

22.9%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

20.9%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UMass Lowell River Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMass Lowell River Hawks than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Providence Friars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UMass Lowell River Hawks - Providence Friars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Providence could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Providence will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches UMass Lowell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:17 (average 2:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams UMass Lowell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:10 (average 1.7:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMass Lowell River Hawks hockey
NCAA Hockey
11.01.25	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Maine Black Bears	1:2
10.01.25	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Maine Black Bears	1:3 ✺
09.12.24	Boston College Eagles - UMass Lowell River Hawks	3:2 ✺
06.12.24	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Boston College Eagles	4:3 penalties ✺
30.11.24	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Clarkson Golden Knights	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLLWW
- Providence Friars hockey
NCAA Hockey
18.01.25	Boston College Eagles - Providence Friars	4:1 ✺
17.01.25	Providence Friars - Boston College Eagles	0:3 ✺
07.12.24	Providence Friars - Colorado College Tigers	5:1 ✺
06.12.24	Providence Friars - Colorado College Tigers	4:3 ✺
29.11.24	Providence Friars - Clarkson Golden Knights	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
24.02.24	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Providence Friars	1:2
27.01.24	Providence Friars - UMass Lowell River Hawks	4:3 OT
26.01.24	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Providence Friars	2:7
18.02.23	UMass Lowell River Hawks - Providence Friars	2:1
17.02.23	Providence Friars - UMass Lowell River Hawks	3:2 OT

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