The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Cherepovets 29.5%
Draw 21%
Kaluga 49.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.9%
21.7%
44.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
21.5%
43.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaluga's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metallurg Cherepovets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaluga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Metallurg Cherepovets - Kaluga Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
02:18, 0 - 1, Sorokin D. (G), Sharifyanov S. (A),
10:50, 0 - 2, Kitanin I. (G), Novikov D. (A), Repin R. (A2)
11:44, 0 - 3, Foroshchuk A. (G), Sharifyanov S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 6)
02:44, 0 - 4, Meshcherin K. (G),
05:53, 0 - 5, Repin R. (G), Fatkullin D. (A), Novikov D. (A2)
07:28, 0 - 6, Dolgorukov D. (G), Chemerskikh S. (A),
09:22, 0 - 7, Foroshchuk A. (G), Sharifyanov S. (A), Yastrebov A. (A2)
13:30, 0 - 8, Foroshchuk A. (G), Dolgorukov D. (A),
19:59, 0 - 9, Sharifyanov S. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:31, 1 - 9, Savin S. (G), Kanev V. (A), Savin V. (A2)
11:03, 1 - 10, Chemerskikh S. (G), Khandiy N. (A),
Preview
M Cherepovets is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Kaluga has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Recently, M Cherepovets has had a series of away games.
Recently, Kaluga has had a series of home games.
Kaluga could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, M Cherepovets won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 5:4).
Including home matches between the teams, M Cherepovets won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 6:2.7).
Watch
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