Match Info

VHL

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		Kristall Saratov

	1	X	2
	1.32	5.98	6.99	Watch
	1.22	7	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	6.49 ↑ (5)	6.87 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
72.4%

Draw
14.2%

Kristall Saratov
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

18.4%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

20.7%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Novokuznetsk's performance.

Kristall Saratov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Novokuznetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kristall Saratov than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Metallurg N will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	1. Grischenko A. (G)
47. Churkin V.	83. Boldyrev D.
51. Mineyev M.	24. Koryagin V.
17. Sokolov D.	96. Konkin D.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	71. Polshakov Z.
59. Perevalov A.	90. Basin D.
Line 2
54. Chibrikov I.	5. Velmatov A.
77. Vinogradov A.	32. Semeneko M. (C)
88. Shalagin M.	89. Larichev I.
21. Kodola V.	7. Samoilov Y.
61. Gorshkov A. (A)	21. Chervontsev N.
Line 3
8. Naumov V.	8. Egorov E.
53. Shchemerov A.	92. Vyalov F.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	9. Balabolkin I.
24. Khrapov F.	23. Kormilov D.
10. Sheshin D. (A)	81. Marushev D.
Line 4
9. Belov D.	17. Sidorov Y.
33. Shablovsky Z.	19. Gusev A.
50. Kurbatov V.	61. Kulagin A.
89. Guslistov N.	79. Samsonov D.
	51. Asylayev N.
Substitutes
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	30. Yeryomenko M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:56, 1 - 0, Sokolov D. (G), Churkin V. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
17:35, 2 - 0, Ovchinnikov D. (G), Mineyev M. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
18:38, 3 - 0, Sokolov D. (G), Khrapov F. (A), Shchemerov A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
00:44, 4 - 0, Shalagin M. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Kodola V. (A2)
12:39, 4 - 1, Samoilov Y. (G),
18:49, 5 - 1, Guslistov N. (G),

Preview

Metallurg N has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Kristall Saratov's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kristall Saratov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metallurg N is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:12. (average 3.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 5.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	13	7	0	3	3	24:14	17
13	Kristall Saratov	11	5	2	1	3	30:34	15

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.64%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
11.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dizel Penza	4:3 ✺
09.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Ryazan	4:2 ✺
07.01.26	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	5:2 ✺
27.12.25	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:6 ✺
25.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Kristall Saratov
VHL
11.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - Kristall Saratov	3:1 ✺
28.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Dizel Penza	5:0 ✺
22.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Buran Voronezh	3:4 penalties ✺
20.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Rostov	3:2 ✺
18.12.25	Kristall Saratov - Tambov	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
09.11.25	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3
03.03.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov	7:2
19.09.24	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	4:1
07.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Kristall Saratov	4:3
15.10.23	Kristall Saratov - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:4

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