Match Info

VHL

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kuznetsk Metallurgists (Novokuznetsk)


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		AKM

	1	X	2
	1.47	5.06	5.26	Watch
	1.43	5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.72)	5.03 ↑ (4.18)	5.01 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
63.4%

Draw
18.3%

AKM
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

21.8%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

20.8%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Metallurg Novokuznetsk's performance.

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AKM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Novokuznetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AKM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
73. Podskrebalin N. (G)	60. Kanarsky I. (G)
47. Churkin V.	3. Zhurakov D.
51. Mineyev M.	85. Fazylzyanov K. (C)
17. Sokolov D. (A)	94. Mitrofanov A.
40. Apalkov D. (C)	90. Komissarov L.
59. Perevalov A.	52. Lapshin I.
Line 2
54. Chibrikov I.	25. Puchkov Y. (A)
77. Vinogradov A.	71. Zaitsev D.
88. Shalagin M.	12. Rybakov V.
21. Kodola V.	70. Dyukarev V. (A)
33. Shablovsky Z.	29. Kaburov G.
Line 3
8. Naumov V.	67. Ivanov G.
75. Starikov L.	38. Bulygin D.
97. Ovchinnikov D.	10. Nazarov M.
24. Khrapov F.	13. Bryntsev M.
10. Sheshin D. (A)	36. Shumilin Y.
Line 4
9. Belov D.	24. Alishlalov M.
18. Serdyuk Y.	86. Ignatov S.
50. Kurbatov V.	77. Sharifyanov T.
89. Guslistov N.	79. Shulenin G.
Substitutes
94. Bogdanov N. (G)	91. Pastukh V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
09:11, 1 - 0, Kodola V. (G), Shalagin M. (A),
17:56, 2 - 0, Kodola V. (G), Starikov L. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:45, 3 - 0, Shalagin M. (G), Podskrebalin N. (A),
12:19, 3 - 1, Mitrofanov A. (G), Fazylzyanov K. (A), Rybakov V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
05:26, 3 - 2, Dyukarev V. (G), Rybakov V. (A), Kaburov G. (A2)
10:56, 4 - 2, Apalkov D. (G), Sokolov D. (A),
14:34, 5 - 2, Guslistov N. (G), Serdyuk Y. (A), Kurbatov V. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 2.

Metallurg N is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, AKM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metallurg N may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of away games.

In this match, Metallurg N is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 3.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.8:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17
10	Metallurg Novokuznetsk	12	6	0	3	3	22:14	15

Last Results with these Odds

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 52.95%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL
27.12.25	Bars Kazan - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:6 ✺
25.12.25	CSK VVS Samara - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:1 penalties ✺
23.12.25	Chelny - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:5 ✺
21.12.25	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:1 ✺
15.12.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - SKA-VMF	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- AKM Tula
VHL
05.01.26	Dynamo-Altay - AKM	1:2 penalties ✺
28.12.25	AKM - Buran Voronezh	1:3 ✺
26.12.25	AKM - Rostov	2:1 OT ✺
24.12.25	AKM - Tambov	4:2 ✺
19.12.25	Omskie Krylia - AKM	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
15.11.25	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	2:3
24.01.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	1:2 penalties
27.10.24	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:3
28.01.24	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - AKM	1:2
25.11.23	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	3:2 penalties
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.23	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	6:5 OT
VHL
11.02.23	AKM - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	0:4

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