Match Info

NCAA

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Michigan State Spartans		Penn State Nittany Lions

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.1	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)	4.1 ↓ (4.3)	2.73 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Michigan State Spartans
44.4%

Draw
22.2%

Penn State Nittany Lions
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

21.4%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

20.4%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Michigan State Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Penn State Nittany Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Michigan State won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 50:34. (average 4.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Michigan State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.8:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Michigan State Spartans hockey
NCAA Hockey
07.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:1 OT ✺
18.10.25	Boston University Terriers - Michigan State Spartans	3:4 OT ✺
17.10.25	Boston University Terriers - Michigan State Spartans	2:4 ✺
10.10.25	Michigan State Spartans - New Hampshire Wildcats	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Michigan State Spartans - New Hampshire Wildcats	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWL
- Penn State Nittany Lions hockey
NCAA Hockey
07.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:1 OT ✺
31.10.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	3:4 ✺
30.10.25	Ohio State Buckeyes - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:3 ✺
25.10.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Stonehill Skyhawks	4:2
18.10.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Long Island Sharks	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
07.11.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:1 OT
22.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:3
21.02.25	Michigan State Spartans - Penn State Nittany Lions	2:3 penalties
10.01.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	4:6
13.01.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	3:7
12.01.24	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	0:5
11.11.23	Penn State Nittany Lions - Michigan State Spartans	3:5

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