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Current Win Probability
Mikhaylov Academy 15.5%
Draw 17.4%
Loko 67.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.4%
18.7%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
19.7%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikhaylov Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikhaylov Academy's form might have worsened.
Loko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Loko's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikhaylov Academy than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikhaylov Academy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko than the current prediction. (-16.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Loko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mikhaylov Academy - Loko Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
40. Zarubin K. (G)
30. Safonov S. (G)
77. Semak N.
52. Chaly G. (A)
22. Andriyashev A.
71. Shokhrin R.
95. Seliverstov A. (A)
21. Dudorov V. (A)
81. Vakhrushev N. (C)
79. Elblaus A.
28. Andreev S.
14. Pustovoy A.
Line 2
79. Tsyganov Y.
2. Silayev Y.
98. Ignatov N.
39. Zilev L. (C)
73. Ryzhkov A.
80. Yelezov A.
68. Kulagin I.
15. Sokol L.
47. Bulatov D.
17. Kotkov M.
Line 3
87. Fedorov S. (A)
22. Andriyanov Y.
12. Shutyayev D.
44. Lebedev B.
52. Timoshenko V.
35. Shlyukov A.
90. Bazhukhin A.
7. Yemelyanov K.
93. Kirilin I.
55. Akhmetshin M.
Line 4
18. Pasler D.
48. Starkov V.
17. Fateev N.
81. Dorogushkin I.
2. Stepanov Y.
95. Meshkov S.
88. Kudinov S.
28. Filevsky L.
57. Kuznetsov Y.
12. Maslenitsyn M.
Substitutes
30. Levchenko V. (G)
40. Tetyushkin D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
07:17, 1 - 0, Bazhukhin A. (G), Kirilin I. (A), Timoshenko V. (A2)
19:41, 1 - 1, Akhmetshin M. (G), Shlyukov A. (A), Yemelyanov K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
03:31, 2 - 1, Fedorov S. (G), Semak N. (A), Bazhukhin A. (A2)
Preview
Loko is Qualified for MHL (Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mikhaylov Academy won 1.
Mikhaylov Academy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Loko is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Loko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Mikhaylov Academy has had a series of home games.
In this match, Loko is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mikhaylov Academy won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 44:69. (average 2.2:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Mikhaylov Academy won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 2.8:3.4).
Last Results with these Odds
Loko - the odds 1.77 are the expected chance of winning is 52.85%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.