Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Fiera Ice Arena (Milan)


	Milano		TWK Innsbruck

	1	X	2
	1.27	6.50	7.00
	1.34	5.50	6.50
	1.43	5.60	4.90
	1.43	5.26	5.47
	1.34	5.6	6.9	Watch
	1.41	5.20	5.40
	1.37	5.30	5.86
	1.37	5.20	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.48)	5.52 ↑ (4.85)	6 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milano
67.7%

Draw
16.8%

TWK Innsbruck
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

19.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

20.1%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Milano's performance.

TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milano than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Milano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Milano - TWK Innsbruck Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Milano will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Smith J. (G)	38. Harvey S. (G)
51. Grant A.	59. Messner J. (A)
22. Valentine S.	77. Lindner P. (A)
96. Hannoun D.	21. Benker S.
27. McLaughlin B.	96. Owre S.
11. Caamano N.	71. Macierzynski K.
Line 2
94. Wylie W.	12. Wichers Q.
3. Dello T.	18. Mayer C.
65. Kostner D.	47. Witting M. (C)
14. McKegg G.	16. Richards J.
91. Dal Colle M.	95. Scherbak N.
Line 3
4. Gios G.	13. Frimmel W.
5. Albis O. P.	65. Kernberger M.
37. Chiodo L.	89. Bar L.
68. Lindquist D.	22. Davis B.
67. Frycklund M.	63. Bretschneider N.
Line 4
47. Pietroniro C.	5. Kerber N.
8. Cuglietta D.	4. Stoffler E.
24. Madaschi T.	20. Rappold K.
	44. Mader T.
	29. Klingler L.
Substitutes
83. Berti E. (G)	81. Brandner J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:31, 1 - 0, Kostner D. (G), Albis O. P. (A),
18:29, 1 - 1, Davis B. (G), Rappold K. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:06, 1 - 2, Owre S. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:43, 1 - 3, Richards J. (G), Mayer C. (A),
18:44, 1 - 4, Witting M. (G), Davis B. (A),

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 12th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Recently, Milano has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Milano is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Milano has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:1.

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Milano: 4.58% TWK Innsbruck: 0.84%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Milano	9	5	0	0	4	27:28	15
11	TWK Innsbruck	9	3	1	0	5	22:26	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Milano
Austrian Ice Hockey League
04.10.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Milano	5:2 ✺
02.10.26	Villacher - Milano	7:2 ✺
30.09.26	EC KAC - Milano	2:4 ✺
26.09.26	Vienna Capitals - Milano	2:6 ✺
25.09.26	Ferencvárosi - Milano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWWL
- TWK Innsbruck
Austrian Ice Hockey League
03.10.26	Graz 99ers - TWK Innsbruck	3:0 ✺
02.10.26	Vienna Capitals - TWK Innsbruck	4:0 ✺
30.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:4 ✺
27.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Bolzano	3:4 ✺
26.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Fehérvár AV 19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
18.09.26	TWK Innsbruck - Milano	1:3

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