The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Graz 99ers 63.9%
Draw 18.2%
TWK Innsbruck 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.9%
19.2%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
20.9%
22.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Graz 99ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Graz 99ers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Graz 99ers - TWK Innsbruck Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Kiviaho H. (G)
38. Harvey S. (G)
3. Hora F.
59. Messner J. (A)
58. Hanus C.
18. Mayer C.
55. Swaney N.
47. Witting M. (C)
12. Vela M. (C)
96. Owre S.
52. Huber P.
21. Benker S.
Line 2
49. Maier D.
12. Wichers Q.
18. Stapelfeldt P.
77. Lindner P. (A)
22. Conley K.
95. Scherbak N.
64. Currie J.
16. Richards J.
70. Lippitsch J.
71. Macierzynski K.
Line 3
81. Kirchebner M.
13. Frimmel W.
8. Holm O.
65. Kernberger M.
17. Ganahl M. (A)
89. Bar L.
10. Collins C.
22. Davis B.
73. Dobnig J.
63. Bretschneider N.
Line 4
27. Gruber J.
4. Stoffler E.
74. Feldner N.
20. Rappold K.
13. Schiechl M. (A)
44. Mader T.
82. Reiner P.
Substitutes
30. Wieser N. (G)
81. Brandner J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
03:02, 1 - 0, Swaney N. (G), Huber P. (A), Vela M. (A2)
05:47, 2 - 0, Hanus C. (G), Vela M. (A), Huber P. (A2)
08:53, 3 - 0, Lippitsch J. (G), Currie J. (A), Conley K. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 11th and 10th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Graz won 3.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Graz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Graz carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Graz has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 53:60 (averaging 2.7:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Graz against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 28:31 goals (averaging 2.8:3.1 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
TWK Innsbruck: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Graz99ers
9
2
2
2
3
23:27
12
11
TWK Innsbruck
9
3
1
0
5
22:26
11
Last Results with these Odds
TWK Innsbruck - the odds 4.38 are the expected chance of winning is 20.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.