The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vienna Capitals 58.6%
Draw 19.7%
TWK Innsbruck 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
20.4%
26.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
21.3%
25.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vienna Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vienna Capitals's performance.
TWK Innsbruck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vienna Capitals than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TWK Innsbruck than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Vienna Capitals - TWK Innsbruck Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
39. Reideborn A. (G)
81. Brandner J. (G)
7. Bailen N.
59. Messner J.
22. Schnetzer R.
77. Lindner P.
25. Gregoire J.
95. Scherbak N.
19. Vey L.
96. Owre S.
15. Lilja J.
21. Benker S.
Line 2
13. Gazzola R.
12. Wichers Q.
5. Hackl D.
18. Mayer C.
82. Peeters S.
47. Witting M.
9. Wallner L.
16. Richards J.
34. Koschek F.
71. Macierzynski K.
Line 3
92. Lindner L.
13. Frimmel W.
24. Bourque S.
65. Kernberger M.
17. Kosmachuk S.
89. Bar L.
67. Komarek K.
22. Davis B.
10. Gersich S.
63. Bretschneider N.
Line 4
11. Zach-Kiesling L.
37. Kromp C.
76. Antonitsch S.
Substitutes
36. Zimmermann M. (G)
38. Harvey S. (G)
44. Mader T.
20. Rappold K.
4. Stoffler E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
11:43, 1 - 0, Vey L. (G), Gregoire J. (A), Bailen N. (A2)
16:21, 2 - 0, Lilja J. (G), Bailen N. (A), Vey L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
03:28, 3 - 0, Gregoire J. (G), Vey L. (A),
18:03, 4 - 0, Lilja J. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vienna Capitals won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Innsbruck may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Innsbruck has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Vienna Capitals carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vienna Capitals has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 83:48 (averaging 4.2:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vienna Capitals against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 41:24 goals (averaging 4.1:2.4 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
Vienna Capitals: 2.6% TWK Innsbruck: 0.83%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Vienna Capitals
9
3
2
1
3
27:26
14
11
TWK Innsbruck
10
3
2
0
5
25:28
13
Last Results with these Odds
Vienna Capitals - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 53.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Reideborn A. (G) 
Brandner J. (G) 
Bailen N. 
Messner J. 
Scherbak N. 
Gazzola R. 
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