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Current Win Probability
Milwaukee Admirals 36.9%
Draw 23.5%
Manitoba Moose 39.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
22.6%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
24.6%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Milwaukee Admirals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Milwaukee Admirals's form might have worsened.
Manitoba Moose has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manitoba Moose's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milwaukee Admirals than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Milwaukee Admirals, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manitoba Moose, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Milwaukee Admirals - Manitoba Moose Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Murray M. (G)
32. Milic T. (G)
43. Carr D.
28. Anderson-Dolan J.
10. Davies J.
47. Anhorn D.
41. Edstrom D.
4. Barteaux D.
8. Englund A.
2. Bauer T.
6. Gibson A.
19. Chibrikov N.
5. Gravel K. (C)
34. Di Giuseppe P. (A)
25. Kemell J.
20. Empey T.
19. Lucchini J. (A)
16. Fagemo S.
36. Marino K.
25. Ford P.
50. Molendyk T.
24. Julien J.
82. Oesterle J. (A)
13. Lambert B.
77. O'Hara C.
37. Moulton D.
15. Ratcliffe I.
3. Phillips I.
49. Schaefer R.
6. Sautner A. (A)
40. Svechkov F.
18. Shaw M. (C)
12. Ufko R.
26. Wagner F.
88. Wiesblatt O.
29. Yager B.
13. Willis J.
17. Zhilkin D.
Substitutes
30. Chrona M. (G)
30. Poulter I. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:25, 0 - 1, Moulton D. (G), Julien J. (A), Chibrikov N. (A2)
05:56, 1 - 1, Schaefer R. (G), Oesterle J. (A), Gibson A. (A2)
16:44, 1 - 2, Di Giuseppe P. (G), Shaw M. (A), Yager B. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
11:17, 1 - 3, Chibrikov N. (G), Sautner A. (A), Ford P. (A2)
16:33, 2 - 3, Edstrom D. (G), Molendyk T. (A), Oesterle J. (A2)
17:48, 3 - 3, Svechkov F. (G), O'Hara C. (A), Molendyk T. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:48, 4 - 3, Schaefer R. (G), Oesterle J. (A), Edstrom D. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 4.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Manitoba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Milwaukee has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milwaukee won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 75:55. (average 3.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Milwaukee won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:39. (average 3.7:3.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Manitoba Moose - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.25%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.
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Murray M. (G) 
Edstrom D. 
Chibrikov N. 
Gravel K. (C) 
Kemell J. 
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