Match Info

NHL

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Grand Casino Arena (Saint Paul, MN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Minnesota Wild		Pittsburgh Penguins

	1	X	2
	1.95	4.25	3.25	Watch
	1.95	4.48	3.16
	1.96	4.36	3.15	Watch
	1.97	4.44	3.18
	1.94	4.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (1.96)	4.37 ↑ (4.36)	3.18 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota Wild
48.5%

Draw
21.7%

Pittsburgh Penguins
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

21.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

22.2%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	46.2%	15.4%

Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Pittsburgh (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Gustavsson F. (G)	35. Jarry T. (G)
7. Faber B.	65. Karlsson E.
25. Brodin J.	28. Wotherspoon P.
90. Johansson M.	17. Rust B.
23. Rossi M.	87. Crosby S. (C)
97. Kaprizov K. (A)	11. Hallander F.
Line 2
46. Spurgeon J. (C)	58. Letang K. (A)
5. Middleton J.	5. Shea R.
12. Boldy M.	16. Brazeau J.
14. Eriksson J.	71. Malkin E. (A)
91. Tarasenko V.	39. Mantha A.
Line 3
55. Jiricek D.	24. Dumba M.
8. Buium Z.	38. Pickering O.
18. Hinostroza V.	41. Koivunen V.
38. Hartman R.	81. Kindel B.
17. Foligno M. (A)	18. Novak T.
Line 4
19. Pitlick T.	55. Acciari N.
22. Yurov D.	46. Lizotte B.
13. Trenin Y.	19. Dewar C.
Substitutes
30. Wallstedt J. (G)	37. Silovs A. (G)
Coaches
. Hynes J.	. Muse D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:16, 1 - 0, Kaprizov K. (G), Johansson M. (A), Rossi M. (A2)
13:06, (2 min),
17:45, Rust B. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
02:18, 1 - 1, Shea R. (G), Novak T. (A), Letang K. (A2)
12:45, (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 3)
06:29, 1 - 2, Rust B. (G), Shea R. (A), Letang K. (A2)
07:17, Pitlick T. (2 min),
07:30, 1 - 3, Kindel B. (G), Rust B. (A), Malkin E. (A2)
12:47, Crosby S. (2 min),
17:18, 1 - 4, Mantha A. (G),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.

Minnesota is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pittsburgh has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Minnesota might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Minnesota: Bogosian Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Sturm N. (Back Injury) Zuccarello M. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hayes K. (Upper-Body Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) McGroarty R. (Upper-Body Injury) Rakell R. (Hand Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 57:78. (average 2.9:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 2.7:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Pittsburgh Penguins - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 30.03%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota Wild
NHL
28.10.25	Minnesota Wild - Winnipeg Jets	3:4 OT ✺
26.10.25	Minnesota Wild - San Jose Sharks	5:6 OT ✺
25.10.25	Minnesota Wild - Utah Mammoth	2:6 ✺
22.10.25	New Jersey Devils - Minnesota Wild	4:1 ✺
20.10.25	New York Rangers - Minnesota Wild	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLLW
- Pittsburgh Penguins
NHL
28.10.25	Philadelphia Flyers - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2 penalties ✺
27.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - St. Louis Blues	6:3 ✺
25.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Columbus Blue Jackets	4:5 penalties ✺
23.10.25	Florida Panthers - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:5 ✺
21.10.25	Pittsburgh Penguins - Vancouver Canucks	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NHL
09.03.25	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	1:3
29.10.24	Pittsburgh Penguins - Minnesota Wild	3:5
09.02.24	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:2
18.12.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Minnesota Wild	4:3
06.04.23	Pittsburgh Penguins - Minnesota Wild	4:1
17.11.22	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	4:6
31.03.22	Minnesota Wild - Pittsburgh Penguins	3:4 OT

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