Match Info

HockeyEttan Sodra

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Mjölby		Troja Ljungby

	1	X	2
	2.23	4.35	2.43
	2.00	3.96	2.83
	1.99	4.23	2.87	Watch
	1.98	3.90	2.80
	1.98	4.20	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.29)	4.13 ↓ (4.3)	2.75 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjölby
44.8%

Draw
22.1%

Troja Ljungby
33.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

21.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

22.4%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjölby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Troja Ljungby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjölby than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjölby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Troja Ljungby could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mjölby - Troja Ljungby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:54, 0 - 1, Ek Koskela H. (G), Rupi N. (A), Kakela L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:35, 0 - 2, Ek Koskela H. (G), Dynell E. (A),
3rd Period (5 - 0)
02:25, 1 - 2, Sikl A. (G),
03:08, 2 - 2, Rapp C. (G), Lundqvist E. (A),
17:21, 3 - 2, Karlsson O. (G),
19:02, 4 - 2, Lundqvist E. (G), Rapp C. (A), Lindblad A. (A2)
19:17, 5 - 2, Karlsson A. (G), Forsell M. (A), Lillsund S. (A2)

Preview

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Mjölby may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Mjölby in today's match, at odds of 2.21.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Mjölby has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:8 (averaging 1:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mjölby against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Mjolby	9	4	0	1	4	32:30	13
18	Troja/Ljungby	8	2	0	2	4	25:37	8

Last Results with these Odds

Troja Ljungby - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.47%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjölby Hockey
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
11.10.26	Mjölby - Dalen	3:2 ✺
09.10.26	Tyringe - Mjölby	4:3 penalties ✺
02.10.26	Mariestad BoIS - Mjölby	4:2 ✺
30.09.26	Mjölby - Nyköping	7:1 ✺
27.09.26	Mjölby - Grums	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWW
- Troja Ljungby
Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra
09.10.26	Troja Ljungby - Boro Vetlanda	3:4 OT ✺
07.10.26	Västervik - Troja Ljungby	5:4 penalties ✺
30.09.26	Troja Ljungby - Mörrums GoIS	5:4 ✺
27.09.26	Tranås - Troja Ljungby	4:2 ✺
25.09.26	Troja Ljungby - Tingsryd	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Sodra Var
23.02.24	Mjölby - Troja Ljungby	1:2 OT
19.01.24	Troja Ljungby - Mjölby	6:1

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