The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mladá Boleslav 34.4%
Draw 23.2%
Mountfield Hradec Králové 42.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.5%
23.1%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
24.3%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Mountfield Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mountfield Hradec Králové, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mladá Boleslav - Mountfield Hradec Králové Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Furch D. (G)
33. Vomacka T. (G)
20. Zamorsky P. (A)
12. McCormack G.
21. Vlasak A.
29. Kalina P.
28. Skalicky P. (A)
69. Radil L. (A)
12. Fort T. (C)
56. Miskar P.
17. Hyka T.
98. Pavlik R.
Line 2
45. Pavlik F.
89. Mudrak D.
85. Budik V.
40. Koch A.
51. Martel J.
26. Jergl A.
89. Morand A.
25. Tamasi A.
18. Rekonen A.
94. Perret J. (A)
Line 3
5. Kubicek S.
23. Melancon T.J.
71. Moravec D.
51. Vukojevic M.
81. Koblizek R.
7. Nenonen M.
19. Kral P.
34. Klima Kev.
77. Jandric S.
96. Zdrahal P.
Line 4
33. Skarberg M.
9. Planek M. (C)
88. Gardon M.
90. Kousal R.
15. Gavars F.
48. Cacho V.
94. Lichtag J.
46. Kohout M.
Substitutes
93. Mokry V. (G)
30. Huzl D. (G)
49. Zavora J.
62. Pilar R.
Coaches
. Haken P.
. Martinec T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
07:38, Miskar P. (2 min),
07:38, Lichtag J. (2 min),
08:01, McCormack G. (2 min),
13:53, Radil L. (2 min),
14:10, 0 - 1, Vukojevic M. (G), Miskar P. (A), Pavlik R. (A2)
16:47, Zdrahal P. (2 min),
20:00, Perret J. (2 min),
2nd Period (4 - 1)
00:51, 1 - 1, Hyka T. (G), Zamorsky P. (A), Gardon M. (A2)
01:29, 2 - 1, Gavars F. (G), Moravec D. (A),
02:23, 3 - 1, Gardon M. (G),
05:56, 4 - 1, Skalicky P. (G), Hyka T. (A), Moravec D. (A2)
07:45, Cacho V. (2 min),
12:48, 4 - 2, Klima Kev. (G), Vukojevic M. (A),
14:28, Hyka T. (2 min),
16:42, Moravec D. (2 min),
19:16, Zdrahal P. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:35, Rekonen A. (2 min),
04:51, 4 - 3, Radil L. (G), Koch A. (A), Kousal R. (A2)
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 12th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
Mladá Boleslav is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Mountfield shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Mladá Boleslav: Janosik A.
(Ribs Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Mladá Boleslav: Rekonen A.
(Finger Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Mountfield in today's match, at odds of 2.33.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Mladá Boleslav has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:41 (averaging 1.9:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mladá Boleslav against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 20:22 goals (averaging 2:2.2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Mountfield HK
15
6
2
1
6
40:38
23
12
Mlada Boleslav
16
4
2
1
9
35:53
17
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Mountfield HK: 2.59% Mlada Boleslav: 1.04%
Last Results with these Odds
Mladá Boleslav - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.