The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Verva Litvínov 33.4%
Draw 23%
Mountfield Hradec Králové 43.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
23.5%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
24.5%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Verva Litvínov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Mountfield Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mountfield Hradec Králové's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verva Litvínov than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verva Litvínov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mountfield Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mountfield Hradec Králové, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Verva Litvínov - Mountfield Hradec Králové Predictions
05:21, 1 - 0, Svozil S. (G), Moravcik M. (A), Sukel M. (A2)
08:15, Pavlik R. (2 min),
12:30, Svozil S. (2 min),
13:39, 1 - 1, Radil L. (G), Tamasi A. (A), Jergl A. (A2)
18:57, 1 - 2, Tamasi A. (G), Perret J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
09:14, Kousal R. (2 min),
09:14, Balaz O. (2 min),
12:46, Pavlik R. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:18, 1 - 3, Radil L. (G), Vukojevic M. (A),
09:29, Mudrak D. (2 min),
18:23, 1 - 4, Perret J. (G), Jergl A. (A),
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 5th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Litvínov won 1.
In recent outings, Litvínov has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Mountfield is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Litvínov: Zygmunt P.
(Collarbone injury).
Confirmed absences for Mountfield: Mudrak D.
(Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Litvínov: Gut M.
(Health problems)
Husinecky V.
(Health problems)
Pistek T.
(Leg Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Litvínov has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:59 (averaging 2.2:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Litvínov against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 28:35 goals (averaging 2.8:3.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
6
Mountfield HK
15
6
2
1
6
40:38
23
11
Litvinov
16
6
1
1
8
36:42
21
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Mountfield HK: 1.34% Litvinov: 0.78%
Last Results with these Odds
Mountfield Hradec Králové - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.