The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mladá Boleslav 34.1%
Draw 23.6%
Oceláři Třinec 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
22.2%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
24.8%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oceláři Třinec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
25%
0%
Mladá Boleslav - Oceláři Třinec Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
38. Furch D. (G)
2. Mazanec M. (G)
24. Pyrochta F. (A)
55. Adamek M.
3. Janosik A. (C)
52. Marincin M. (A)
13. Zdrahal P.
94. Nestrasil A. (A)
12. Fort T. (A)
87. Kovarcik M.
28. Skalicky P.
34. Kovarcik O.
Line 2
45. Pavlik F.
76. Galvas J.
33. Skarberg M.
64. Koch P.
75. Koblizek R.
56. Dano M.
16. Griger D.
79. Hudacek L.
82. Prochazka O.
18. Flynn O.
Line 3
4. Kubicek S.
84. Kundratek T.
44. Gewiese P.
6. Musil D.
18. Rekonen A.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
25. Malinek V.
40. Roman M.
29. Berglund C.
19. Hrehorcak P.
Line 4
94. Lichtag J.
73. Jank B.
49. Zavora J.
9. Kubiesa M.
42. Suchy F.
3. Sikora P.
43. Kurovsky D.
Substitutes
2. Hora D. (G)
81. Cienciala D.
9. Hradec V.
90. Kacetl O. (G)
87. Musil P.
Coaches
. Horava M.
. Zabka B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
06:05, 1 - 0, Pyrochta F. (G), Suchy F. (A), Janosik A. (A2)
07:48, 1 - 1, Kovarcik O. (G), Kovarcik M. (A), Nestrasil A. (A2)
15:31, Fort T. (2 min),
16:31, 1 - 2, Kovarcik O. (G), Kovarcik M. (A), Galvas J. (A2)
18:59, Kovarcik O. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
12:31, 2 - 2, Kubicek S. (G), Zdrahal P. (A), Fort T. (A2)
14:50, 2 - 3, Musil D. (G), Flynn O. (A), Hudacek L. (A2)
16:22, 3 - 3, Fort T. (G), Zdrahal P. (A), Gewiese P. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
02:26, Sikora P. (2 min),
Penalties (3 - 2)
1, Prochazka O. (Penalty Shot),
1, Hudacek L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Zdrahal P. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nestrasil A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Griger D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kovarcik O. (Penalty Shot),
4, Koblizek R. (Penalty Shot),
4, Flynn O. (Penalty Shot),
5, Rekonen A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Ruzicka Mart. (Penalty Shot),
6, Hudacek L. (Penalty Shot),
6, Koblizek R. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Třinec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 34:53. (average 1.7:2.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 2.2:2.4).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Trinec
9
9
0
0
0
45:18
27
13
Mlada Boleslav
9
1
1
1
6
21:35
6
Last Results with these Odds
Oceláři Třinec - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.