Match Info

Extraliga - Round 44

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: SKO-ENERGO Arena (Mlada Boleslav) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	17:30	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3


	Mladá Boleslav		Vítkovice Steel

	1	X	2
	2.25	4	2.7	Watch
	2.24	4.05	2.65	Watch
	2.19	3.81	2.72
	2.21	3.98	2.77
	2.15	3.9	2.6
	2.24	3.94	2.76	Watch
	2.2	4.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)	3.99 ↑ (3.93)	2.7 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladá Boleslav
42.1%

Draw
23.4%

Vítkovice Steel
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42%

23.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

24.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vítkovice Steel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Mladá Boleslav - Vítkovice Steel Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vítkovice will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vítkovice (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Period - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
38. Furch D. (G)	49. Hrachovina D. (G)
24. Pyrochta F. (A)	20. Wesley J.
3. Janosik A. (C)	8. Demel P. (A)
13. Zdrahal P.	21. Yetman C.
12. Fort T. (A)	19. Nellis A.
28. Skalicky P.	24. Abdul J.
Line 2
45. Pavlik F.	12. Knazko S.
33. Skarberg M.	29. Freibergs R.
81. Koblizek R.	9. Edmonds L.
16. Griger D.	79. Hanzl M.
82. Prochazka O.	71. Troock B.
Line 3
5. Cech A.	26. Port V.
44. Gewiese P.	38. Zboril J.
18. Rekonen A.	23. Lednicky V.
25. Malinek V.	67. Hladonik J.
29. Berglund C.	11. Kalus M. (C)
Line 4
17. Bernad D.	5. Bruna P.
94. Lichtag J.	93. Hauser P.
49. Zavora J.	89. Sir J.
42. Suchy F.	34. Macias K.
Substitutes
9. Hradec V.	33. Klimes L. (G)
93. Mokry V. (G)
Coaches
. Horava M.	. Varada V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
10:43, 1 - 0, Rekonen A. (G), Janosik A. (A), Pyrochta F. (A2)
16:33, Hanzl M. (2 min),
19:43, Suchy F. (2 min),
19:43, Abdul J. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:29, Skarberg M. (2 min),
07:25, 1 - 1, Nellis A. (G), Kalus M. (A), Yetman C. (A2)
10:11, Port V. (2 min),
14:41, Janosik A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
06:19, Furch D. (2 min),
11:59, Kalus M. (5 min),
15:22, Prochazka O. (2 min),
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:08, 2 - 1, Prochazka O. (G), Griger D. (A), Pyrochta F. (A2)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 3.

In recent matches, Mladá Boleslav has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vítkovice has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Vítkovice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Lakatos D. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Vítkovice: Leahy J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Mladá Boleslav: Buchtele J. (Leg Injury) Lintuniemi A. (Illness) Mokry V. (Illness)

There are questionable in Vítkovice: Hrivik M. (Upper-Body Injury)

We predict that Mladá Boleslav will win today's game, with odds of 2.23.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mladá Boleslav won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:47. (average 2.1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mladá Boleslav won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 2.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Mlada Boleslav	16	4	2	1	9	35:53	17
13	Vitkovice	15	4	1	2	8	37:49	16

Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now

Vitkovice: 1.14% Mlada Boleslav: 1.04%

Last Results with these Odds

Mladá Boleslav - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.97%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Vítkovice Steel - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Mlada Boleslav
Czech Extraliga
18.01.26	Mladá Boleslav - Oceláři Třinec	4:3 penalties ✺
16.01.26	Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice	4:2 ✺
13.01.26	Mladá Boleslav - Mountfield Hradec Králové	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Kometa Brno - Mladá Boleslav	3:2 OT ✺
09.01.26	Mladá Boleslav - Rytíři Kladno	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWLL
- Vítkovice Steel
Czech Extraliga
18.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - Kometa Brno	2:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - Verva Litvínov	4:1 ✺
11.01.26	Rytíři Kladno - Vítkovice Steel	8:1 ✺
09.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - Energie Karlovy Vary	3:4 OT ✺
06.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
19.12.25	Vítkovice Steel - Mladá Boleslav	1:2
26.10.25	Mladá Boleslav - Vítkovice Steel	1:2
19.09.25	Vítkovice Steel - Mladá Boleslav	2:4
16.02.25	Mladá Boleslav - Vítkovice Steel	1:3
05.01.25	Vítkovice Steel - Mladá Boleslav	3:4
17.11.24	Mladá Boleslav - Vítkovice Steel	2:3
13.11.24	Vítkovice Steel - Mladá Boleslav	0:2

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