Match Info

Extraliga - Round 39

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ostravar Arena (Ostrava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 2, Oneplay Sport 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Vítkovice Steel		HC Plzeň 1929

	1	X	2
	2.3	4	2.65	Watch
	2.45	4	2.4	Watch
	2.61	3.91	2.36
	2.4	3.9	2.38
	2.6	3.9	2.35	Watch
	2.45	4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)	3.95 ↑ (3.9)	2.44 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vítkovice Steel
37.9%

Draw
23.7%

HC Plzeň 1929
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

23.8%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

23.8%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vítkovice Steel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for HC Plzeň 1929 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for HC Plzeň 1929 aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929 Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Plzeň will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vítkovice (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): HC Plzeň 1929 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Vítkovice (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Plzeň (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
49. Hrachovina D. (G)	33. Ruzicka J. (G)
41. Wesley J.	20. Zamorsky P. (A)
8. Demel P. (A)	29. Percy S.
21. Yetman C.	89. Holesinsky A.
19. Nellis A.	49. Simon D.
24. Abdul J.	84. Schleiss J. (A)
Line 2
12. Knazko S.	13. Merezhko I.
73. Budik V.	41. Salda R.
91. Edmonds L.	18. Strnad L.
67. Hladonik J.	42. Filip M.
11. Kalus M. (C)	22. Mechura A.
Line 3
26. Port V.	47. Lajunen V.
38. Zboril J.	8. Malak D.
23. Lednicky V.	17. Rohlik O.
86. Pribyl M.	23. Petman V.
22. Fasner S.	92. Teply M.
Line 4
5. Bruna P.	5. Jerabek J. (C)
34. Macias K.	26. Psenicka O.
89. Sir J.	30. Lev J.
82. Nazad M.	14. Sedlacek I.
Substitutes
93. Hauser P.	70. Horejsi M.
33. Klimes L. (G)	31. Malik N. (G)
Coaches
. Varada V.	. Jandac J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 2)
03:17, Holesinsky A. (2 min),
06:30, 1 - 0, Abdul J. (G), Nellis A. (A), Yetman C. (A2)
07:01, 1 - 1, Sedlacek I. (G), Merezhko I. (A), Lev J. (A2)
13:53, 1 - 2, Filip M. (G), Mechura A. (A), Salda R. (A2)
19:33, 2 - 2, Lednicky V. (G), Wesley J. (A), Demel P. (A2)
19:33, (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
07:27, 2 - 3, Mechura A. (G), Strnad L. (A), Filip M. (A2)
18:58, 2 - 4, Petman V. (G), Teply M. (A), Rohlik O. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
08:03, Nellis A. (2 min),
08:48, 2 - 5, Zamorsky P. (G), Filip M. (A),
10:27, Simon D. (2 min),
15:18, Psenicka O. (2 min),
15:31, 3 - 5, Hladonik J. (G), Fasner S. (A), Edmonds L. (A2)
16:40, Merezhko I. (2 min),
17:44, 4 - 5, Nellis A. (G), Abdul J. (A),
19:18, 4 - 6, Filip M. (G), Mechura A. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vítkovice won 1.

Vítkovice has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Plzeň is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Plzeň may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Vítkovice: Freibergs R. (Lower-Body Injury) Hanzl M. (Lower-Body Injury) Leahy J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Plzeň: Jerabek J. (Health problems) Kvasnicka D. (Concussion) Lalancette C. (Hand Injury) Siler J. (Knee Injury) Soukup M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Vítkovice: Abdul J. (Injury) Yetman C. (Illness)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vítkovice won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 39:54. (average 2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Vítkovice won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Plzen	9	3	2	1	3	23:21	14
12	Vitkovice	8	2	0	1	5	21:29	7

Last Results with these Odds

Vítkovice Steel - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.84%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

HC Plzeň 1929 - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vítkovice Steel
Czech Extraliga
04.01.26	Pardubice - Vítkovice Steel	4:1 ✺
02.01.26	Vítkovice Steel - Oceláři Třinec	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Motor České Budějovice - Vítkovice Steel	2:3 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Vítkovice Steel - Mountfield Hradec Králové	3:5 ✺
26.12.25	Olomouc - Vítkovice Steel	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWLW
- HC Plzeň 1929
Czech Extraliga
04.01.26	HC Plzeň 1929 - Mladá Boleslav	6:2 ✺
02.01.26	Verva Litvínov - HC Plzeň 1929	1:8 ✺
28.12.25	Energie Karlovy Vary - HC Plzeň 1929	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Rytíři Kladno	3:0 ✺
23.12.25	Kometa Brno - HC Plzeň 1929	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Czech Extraliga
17.12.25	Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929	1:3
26.11.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Vítkovice Steel	7:0
26.01.25	HC Plzeň 1929 - Vítkovice Steel	4:1
20.12.24	HC Plzeň 1929 - Vítkovice Steel	2:0
25.10.24	Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929	4:2
18.09.24	Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929	2:3 OT
23.02.24	Vítkovice Steel - HC Plzeň 1929	1:0

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