Match Info

LATVIA: OPTIBET HOKEJA LIGA - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Mogo		Kurbads

	1	X	2
	1.48	5.25	4.75
	1.48	4.8	4.55	Watch
	1.45	5.52	5.5
	1.46	5.52	5.34
	1.4	5	4.5
	1.41	5.1	5.41
	1.42	4.9	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.49)	5.16 ↑ (5.05)	5.01 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mogo
63.8%

Draw
17.8%

Kurbads
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

18.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

16.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mogo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Kurbads has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mogo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kurbads than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Mogo - Kurbads Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

2nd leg. Mogo leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mogo won 4.

Mogo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kurbads is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mogo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mogo have a series of home games.

In this match Mogo is a favorite.

Last 59 head-to-head matches Mogo won 33 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 26 matches and goals 187-182.

Including matches at home between the teams Mogo won 20 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 114-98.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Mogo
Latvian Hokeja Liga
13.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	5:1 ✺
28.02.24	Mogo - Riga Prizma	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Mogo - Energija Elektrėnai	11:0 ✺
24.02.24	Mogo - Energija Elektrėnai	13:0 ✺
22.02.24	HS Rīga - Mogo	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW
- HK Kurbads
Latvian Hokeja Liga
13.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	5:1 ✺
07.03.24	HS Rīga - Kurbads	2:4 ✺
05.03.24	Kurbads - HS Rīga	4:1 ✺
03.03.24	Kurbads - HS Rīga	3:2 ✺
29.02.24	Kurbads - HS Rīga	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Hokeja Liga
13.03.24	Mogo - Kurbads	5:1
13.01.24	Kurbads - Mogo	4:0
02.12.23	Kurbads - Mogo	3:4 penalties
21.10.23	Mogo - Kurbads	2:1 OT
20.09.23	Mogo - Kurbads	3:2
26.02.20	Mogo - Kurbads	5:6 penalties
22.01.20	Mogo - Kurbads	3:5

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