The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moose Jaw Warriors 18.8%
Draw 18%
Edmonton Oil Kings 63.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.1%
17.7%
62.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
18.5%
59.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Edmonton Oil Kings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edmonton Oil Kings than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Jones K. (G)
80. Snell P. (G)
55. Andresen K.
14. Dean D.
19. Brown C.
3. Fiddler B. (A)
8. Carter C.
22. Fuder J.
12. Degagne W.
12. Gojsic K.
16. Degenstein N.
32. Gower R.
26. Hirst B.
23. Hanson L.
22. Lajoie M.
17. Hodnett G. (C)
7. McFadden L.
27. Lee J.
20. McKenzie P.
47. MacKenzie E.
36. Nagel G.
5. Noa Taamu
2. Ness B. (C)
34. Obobaifo A.
45. Pavlik D.
77. O’Neill A.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
4. Pederson R. (A)
15. Steranka S.
95. Sawchyn L.
38. Thorpe R.
20. Smith C.
43. Trefny J.
24. Sotheran C.
3. Williams C.
10. Stroeder K.
21. Ziprick A. (A)
36. Williams M.
55. Zemlak A.
Substitutes
35. Wutzke C. (G)
31. Simcoe E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
00:22, 1 - 0, Andresen K. (G), McFadden L. (A),
14:30, 2 - 0, McFadden L. (G), Carter C. (A), McKenzie P. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
03:32, 3 - 0, Carter C. (G), Ness B. (A), Thorpe R. (A2)
07:52, 3 - 1, Sotheran C. (G), Sawchyn L. (A), MacKenzie E. (A2)
08:46, 3 - 2, MacKenzie E. (G), Hodnett G. (A), Sawchyn L. (A2)
11:46, 4 - 2, Brown C. (G), McFadden L. (A),
15:01, 5 - 2, Nagel G. (G), Thorpe R. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 3)
08:24, 6 - 2, Brown C. (G), Lajoie M. (A), Carter C. (A2)
14:11, 6 - 3, Sotheran C. (G), O’Neill A. (A), Sawchyn L. (A2)
15:59, 6 - 4, Hodnett G. (G), Sawchyn L. (A),
16:58, 7 - 4, Brown C. (G), Nagel G. (A),
17:53, 7 - 5, Hanson L. (G), Sotheran C. (A), Fiddler B. (A2)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moose Jaw won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Edmonton is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moose Jaw won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 73:81. (average 3.7:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Moose Jaw won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:41. (average 4:4.1).