The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seattle Thunderbirds 57.7%
Draw 18.4%
Moose Jaw Warriors 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53%
19.3%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.5%
20.3%
29.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seattle Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seattle Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seattle Thunderbirds that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moose Jaw Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Sklenicka M. (G)
35. Wutzke C. (G)
17. Bibeau E.
55. Andresen K.
36. Cail C.
19. Brown C.
3. Cumby A. (A)
8. Carter C.
16. England B.
12. Degagne W.
7. Gard M.
16. Degenstein N.
23. Gramer J.
26. Hirst B.
2. Hocher B.
22. Lajoie M.
24. Holberton B.
7. McFadden L.
71. Kosick N.
20. McKenzie P.
92. Kowalyk C.
36. Nagel G.
22. Lovsin S. (C)
2. Ness B.
89. Martorana A.
45. Pavlik D.
14. Mayes S. (A)
10. Schmidt C. (A)
26. Miller L.
14. Semeniuk E. (A)
21. Mrtka R. (A)
15. Steranka S.
88. Pekar M.
38. Thorpe R.
6. Popil V.
43. Trefny J.
25. Riley T.
3. Williams C.
74. Tash G.
21. Ziprick A. (A)
Substitutes
31. Malinoski G. (G)
33. Jones K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:10, 0 - 1, Andresen K. (G), Lajoie M. (A), McFadden L. (A2)
13:16, 1 - 1, Gard M. (G), Bibeau E. (A), Lovsin S. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:05, 1 - 2, Lajoie M. (G), McKenzie P. (A), McFadden L. (A2)
14:17, 2 - 2, Schmidt C. (G), Mayes S. (A), Pekar M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:22, 2 - 3, McKenzie P. (G), Ziprick A. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 3.
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Seattle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
Seattle is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Seattle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 3.4:2.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Seattle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 2.6:2.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Moose Jaw Warriors - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.7%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Sklenicka M. (G) 
Wutzke C. (G) 
Gramer J. 
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