The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moose Jaw Warriors 14.2%
Draw 14.9%
Prince George Cougars 70.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.1%
17.7%
64.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20%
19.5%
60.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moose Jaw Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Prince George Cougars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Prince George Cougars's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moose Jaw Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moose Jaw Warriors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prince George Cougars than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Prince George Cougars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Jones K. (G)
1. Levshyn A. (G)
55. Andresen K.
8. Anisimov A.
19. Brown C.
4. Carels C. (A)
8. Carter C.
2. Dumanski B. (C)
12. Degagne W.
16. Foster A.
16. Degenstein N.
26. Funk K.
26. Hirst B.
24. Hajt C.
22. Lajoie M.
6. Johnston D.
7. McFadden L.
14. Kozicky T.
20. McKenzie P.
37. Lajoie J.
2. Ness B. (C)
28. Lemire K.
4. Paquette N.
32. Parascak T. (A)
45. Pavlik D.
19. Riley A.
10. Schmidt C. (A)
22. Seitz D.
14. Semeniuk E. (A)
23. Shurgot L.
15. Steranka S.
20. Sobry T.
38. Thorpe R.
15. Vaughan C. (A)
43. Trefny J.
18. Yakutsenak D.
3. Williams C.
21. Ziprick A. (A)
Substitutes
1. Mingo D. (G)
31. Ravensberg J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
01:10, 1 - 0, Brown C. (G), McFadden L. (A),
06:37, 1 - 1, Carels C. (G), Seitz D. (A), Shurgot L. (A2)
11:15, 1 - 2, Anisimov A. (G), Foster A. (A), Dumanski B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
04:02, 2 - 2, McFadden L. (G), Paquette N. (A),
05:51, 2 - 3, Gizowski K. (G), Parascak T. (A), Carels C. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:52, 2 - 4, Yakutsenak D. (G),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moose Jaw won 2.
Moose Jaw has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Prince George is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
In this match, Prince George is considered a favorite.
We predict that Prince George will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Moose Jaw won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 2.3:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Moose Jaw won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.8:2.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Moose Jaw Warriors - the odds 5.14 are the expected chance of winning is 18.1%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Prince George Cougars - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.17%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.